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Efficient inference on fractionally integrated panel data models with fixed effects

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  • Robinson, Peter M.
  • Velasco, Carlos

Abstract

A dynamic panel data model is considered that contains possibly stochastic individual components and a common stochastic time trend that allows for stationary and nonstationary long memory and general parametric short memory. We propose four different ways of coping with the individual effects so as to estimate the parameters. Like models with autoregressive dynamics, ours nests I(1)I(1) behaviour, but unlike the nonstandard asymptotics in the autoregressive case, estimates of the fractional parameter can be asymptotically normal. For three of the estimates, establishing this property is made difficult due to bias caused by the individual effects, or by the consequences of eliminating them, which appears in the central limit theorem except under stringent conditions on the growth of the cross-sectional size NN relative to the time series length TT, though in case of two estimates these can be relaxed by bias correction, where the biases depend only on the parameters describing autocorrelation. For the fourth estimate, there is no bias problem, and no restrictions on NN. Implications for hypothesis testing and interval estimation are discussed, with central limit theorems for feasibly bias-corrected estimates included. A Monte Carlo study of finite-sample performance is included.

Suggested Citation

  • Robinson, Peter M. & Velasco, Carlos, 2015. "Efficient inference on fractionally integrated panel data models with fixed effects," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 60795, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:60795
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robinson, P. M., 1991. "Testing for strong serial correlation and dynamic conditional heteroskedasticity in multiple regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 67-84, January.
    2. Han, Chirok & Phillips, Peter C. B., 2010. "Gmm Estimation For Dynamic Panels With Fixed Effects And Strong Instruments At Unity," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 119-151, February.
    3. Uwe Hassler & Matei Demetrescu & Adina Tarcolea, 2011. "Asymptotic normal tests for integration in panels with cross-dependent units," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 95(2), pages 187-204, June.
    4. Hsiao, Cheng & Hashem Pesaran, M. & Kamil Tahmiscioglu, A., 2002. "Maximum likelihood estimation of fixed effects dynamic panel data models covering short time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 107-150, July.
    5. Robinson, Peter M., 2012. "Nonparametric trending regression with cross-sectional dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 4-14.
    6. Robinson, Peter M. & Velasco, Carlos, 2000. "Whittle pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation for nonstationary time series," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2273, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Peter M Robinson & Carlos Velasco, 2000. "Whittle Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Nonstationary Time Series - (Now published in Journal of the American Statistical Association, 95, (2000), pp.1229-1243.)," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 391, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Yunus Emre Ergemen & Carlos Velasco, 2019. "Persistence Heterogeneity Testing in Panels with Interactive Fixed Effects," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(4), pages 573-589, July.
    2. Ergemen, Yunus Emre & Velasco, Carlos, 2017. "Estimation of fractionally integrated panels with fixed effects and cross-section dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 248-258.
    3. Ergemen, Yunus Emre & Rodríguez-Caballero, C. Vladimir, 2023. "Estimation of a dynamic multi-level factor model with possible long-range dependence," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 405-430.
    4. Rodríguez-Caballero, Carlos Vladimir, 2022. "Energy consumption and GDP: a panel data analysis with multi-level cross-sectional dependence," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 128-146.
    5. Robinson, Peter M. & Velasco, Carlos, 2018. "Inference on trending panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 206(2), pages 282-304.
    6. Saidat Fehintola Olaniran & Oyebayo Ridwan Olaniran & Jeza Allohibi & Abdulmajeed Atiah Alharbi & Mohd Tahir Ismail, 2024. "A Generalized Residual-Based Test for Fractional Cointegration in Panel Data with Fixed Effects," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-11, April.
    7. Yunus Emre Ergemen, 2016. "System Estimation of Panel Data Models under Long-Range Dependence," CREATES Research Papers 2016-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    8. Carlos Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero, 2016. "Panel Data with Cross-Sectional Dependence Characterized by a Multi-Level Factor Structure," CREATES Research Papers 2016-31, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    9. Daniel Borup & Bent Jesper Christensen & Yunus Emre Ergemen, 2019. "Assessing predictive accuracy in panel data models with long-range dependence," CREATES Research Papers 2019-04, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    10. Ergemen, Yunus Emre, 2023. "Parametric estimation of long memory in factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1483-1499.
    11. Jorge V Pérez-Rodríguez & Heiko Rachinger & María Santana-Gallego, 2022. "Does tourism promote economic growth? A fractionally integrated heterogeneous panel data analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1355-1376, August.
    12. Yunus Emre Ergemen, 2016. "Generalized Efficient Inference on Factor Models with Long-Range Dependence," CREATES Research Papers 2016-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    13. Yunus Emre Ergemen, 2022. "Parametric Estimation of Long Memory in Factor Models," CREATES Research Papers 2022-10, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    panel data; fractional time series; estimation; testing; bias correction;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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