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Flight to liquidity and the Great Recession

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  • Radde, Sören

Abstract

This paper argues that counter-cyclical liquidity hoarding by financial intermediaries may strongly amplify business cycles. It develops a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model in which banks operate subject to agency problems and funding liquidity risk in their inter- mediation activity. Importantly, the amount of liquidity reserves held in the financial sector is determined endogenously: Balance sheet constraints force banks to trade off insurance against funding outflows with loan scale. A financial crisis, simulated as an abrupt decline in the collateral value of bank assets, triggers a flight to liquidity, which strongly amplifies the initial shock and induces credit crunch dynamics sharing key features with the Great Recession. The paper thus develops a new balance sheet channel of shock transmission that works through the composition of banks' asset portfolios. JEL Classification: E22, E32, E44

Suggested Citation

  • Radde, Sören, 2014. "Flight to liquidity and the Great Recession," Working Paper Series 1729, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20141729
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    Cited by:

    1. Izabela Jonek-Kowalska, 2018. "Exposure of Polish enterprises to risk within business cycle," Managerial Economics, AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 19(2), pages 187-203.
    2. Maya Eden & Benjamin S. Kay, 2019. "Safe Assets as Commodity Money," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(6), pages 1651-1689, September.
    3. Wei Cui & Sören Radde, 2020. "Search-based Endogenous Asset Liquidity and the Macroeconomy [Why Don’t US Issuers Demand European Fees for IPOs?]," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 18(5), pages 2221-2269.
    4. Pierre Pessarossi & Frédéric Vinas, 2015. "The supply of long-term credit after a funding shock: evidence from 2007-2009," Post-Print halshs-01224523, HAL.
    5. Hsieh, Hui-Ching & Nguyen, Van Quoc Thinh, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and illiquidity return premium," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    6. Schäfer, Dorothea & Stephan, Andreas & Weser, Henriette, 2023. "Crisis stress for the diversity of financial portfolios — evidence from European households," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 330-347.
    7. Emily Gallagher & Sean Collins, 2016. "Money Market Funds and the Prospect of a US Treasury Default," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(01), pages 1-44, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bank capital channel; credit crunch; funding liquidity risk; liquidity hoarding; macro-finance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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