IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ecb/ecbwps/2008948.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Clustering techniques applied to outlier detection of financial market series using a moving window filtering algorithm

Author

Listed:
  • Puigvert Gutiérrez, Josep Maria
  • Fortiana Gregori, Josep

Abstract

In this study we combine clustering techniques with a moving window algorithm in order to filter financial market data outliers. We apply the algorithm to a set of financial market data which consists of 25 series selected from a larger dataset using a cluster analysis technique taking into account the daily behaviour of the market; each of these series is an element of a cluster that represents a different segment of the market. We set up a framework of possible algorithm parameter combinations that detect most of the outliers by market segment. In addition, the algorithm parameters that have been found can also be used to detect outliers in other series with similar economic behaviour in the same cluster. Moreover, the crosschecking of the behaviour of different series within each cluster reduces the possibility of observations being misclassified as outliers. JEL Classification: C19, C49, G19

Suggested Citation

  • Puigvert Gutiérrez, Josep Maria & Fortiana Gregori, Josep, 2008. "Clustering techniques applied to outlier detection of financial market series using a moving window filtering algorithm," Working Paper Series 948, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2008948
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp948.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jurgen A. Doornik & Marius Ooms, 2005. "Outlier Detection in GARCH Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-092/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    2. Leon Korobow & David P. Stuhr, 1991. "Using cluster analysis as a tool for economic and financial analysis," Research Paper 9132, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    3. Seth A. Greenblatt, 1994. "Wavelets in Econometrics: An Application to Outlier Testing," Econometrics 9410001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Kok, Christoffer & Puigvert Gutiérrez, Josep Maria, 2006. "Euro area banking sector integration: using hierarchical cluster analysis techniques," Working Paper Series 627, European Central Bank.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Veiga, Helena, 2009. "Wavelet-based detection of outliers in volatility models," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws090403, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    2. Grané, Aurea & Veiga, Helena, 2010. "Wavelet-based detection of outliers in financial time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2580-2593, November.
    3. Doornik, Jurgen A. & Ooms, Marius, 2008. "Multimodality in GARCH regression models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 432-448.
    4. Grané, Aurea & Veiga, Helena, 2010. "Outliers in Garch models and the estimation of risk measures," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws100502, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    5. Behmiri, Niaz Bashiri & Manera, Matteo, 2015. "The role of outliers and oil price shocks on volatility of metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(P2), pages 139-150.
    6. Fagiani, Riccardo & Hakvoort, Rudi, 2014. "The role of regulatory uncertainty in certificate markets: A case study of the Swedish/Norwegian market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 608-618.
    7. Kocenda, Evzen & Valachy, Juraj, 2006. "Exchange rate volatility and regime change: A Visegrad comparison," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 727-753, December.
    8. Zhang, Dayong & Dickinson, David & Barassi, Marco, 2008. "Volatility Switching in Shanghai Stock Exchange: Does regulation help reduce volatility?," MPRA Paper 70352, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Amira Akl Ahmed & Doaa Akl Ahmed, 2016. "Modelling Conditional Volatility and Downside Risk for Istanbul Stock Exchange," Working Papers 1028, Economic Research Forum, revised Jul 2016.
    10. Mangold, Benedikt & Pleier, Thomas & Brug, Christoph & Nolzen, Jan & Stübinger, Johannes, 2014. "Verbesserung des Lernverhaltens durch Online-Tests: Ein Jahr später," Discussion Papers 91/2013, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Chair of Statistics and Econometrics.
    11. Vigne, Samuel A. & Lucey, Brian M. & O’Connor, Fergal A. & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2017. "The financial economics of white precious metals — A survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 292-308.
    12. Eugenia Sanin, María & Violante, Francesco & Mansanet-Bataller, María, 2015. "Understanding volatility dynamics in the EU-ETS market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 321-331.
    13. Koenig, P., 2011. "Modelling Correlation in Carbon and Energy Markets," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1123, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    14. Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier, 2014. "Large shocks in the volatility of the Dow Jones Industrial Average index: 1928–2013," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 188-199.
    15. Olmo, J., 2009. "Extreme Value Theory Filtering Techniques for Outlier Detection," Working Papers 09/09, Department of Economics, City University London.
    16. Lisa Crosato & Luigi Grossi, 2019. "Correcting outliers in GARCH models: a weighted forward approach," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 60(6), pages 1939-1970, December.
    17. Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier, 2014. "Volatility persistence in crude oil markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 729-742.
    18. Carnero, M. Angeles & Pérez, Ana, 2019. "Leverage effect in energy futures revisited," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 237-252.
    19. M. Angeles Carnero & Daniel Peña & Esther Ruiz, 2008. "Estimating and Forecasting GARCH Volatility in the Presence of Outiers," Working Papers. Serie AD 2008-13, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
    20. Ekaterina Dorodnykh, 2014. "Determinants of stock exchange integration: evidence in worldwide perspective," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 41(2), pages 292 - 316, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    cluster analysis; financial market; moving filtering window algorithm; outliers;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C19 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Other
    • C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other
    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2008948. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Official Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/emieude.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.