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Gas Storage Valuation Under Limited Market Liquidity: An Application In Germany

Author

Listed:
  • Bastian Felix

    (Chair for Management Sciences and Energy Economics, University of Duisburg-Essen)

  • Oliver Woll

    (Chair for Management Sciences and Energy Economics, University of Duisburg-Essen)

  • Christoph Weber

    (Chair for Management Sciences and Energy Economics, University of Duisburg-Essen)

Abstract

Natural gas storages may be valuated by applying real options theory. However it is crucial, not to ignore that most evolving gas spot markets, like the German spot market, lack of liquidity. In this context, considering storage operators as price takers does not account for interdependencies of storage operations and market prices. This paper offers a novel approach to storage valuation taking into account the effect of management decisions on market prices. The within this paper proposed methodology determines the optimal production schedule and value by determining the stochastic differential equation describing the storage value and then applying a finite difference scheme. We find that limited liquidity lowers the storage value and reduces withdrawal and injection amounts. Further, we observe decreasing reservation prices for injection and withdrawing for growing illiquidity resulting in a left shift of injection and withdrawing threshold prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Bastian Felix & Oliver Woll & Christoph Weber, 2009. "Gas Storage Valuation Under Limited Market Liquidity: An Application In Germany," EWL Working Papers 0903, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics, revised Oct 2009.
    • Handle: RePEc:dui:wpaper:0903
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    2. Secomandi, Nicola & Seppi, Duane J., 2014. "Real Options and Merchant Operations of Energy and Other Commodities," Foundations and Trends(R) in Technology, Information and Operations Management, now publishers, vol. 6(3-4), pages 161-331, July.
    3. Corinne Chaton & Laure Durand‐Viel, 2013. "Real Asset Valuation under Imperfect Competition: Can We Forget About Market Fundamentals?," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(1), pages 125-139, March.
    4. James Cruise & Lisa Flatley & Richard Gibbens & Stan Zachary, 2019. "Control of Energy Storage with Market Impact: Lagrangian Approach and Horizons," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 67(1), pages 1-9, January.
    5. Frei, Fanny & Loder, Allister & Bening, Catharina R., 2018. "Liquidity in green power markets – An international review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 674-690.
    6. Lilian de Menezes & Marianna Russo & Giovanni Urga, 2016. "Identifying Drivers of Liquidity in the NBP Month-ahead Market," EcoMod2016 9570, EcoMod.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    natural gas valuation; limited liquidity;

    JEL classification:

    • D52 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Incomplete Markets
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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