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Instrumenting the effect of terrorism on education in Kenya

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  • Alfano, Marco
  • Goerlach, Joseph-Simon

Abstract

This paper estimates the effect of exposure to terrorist violence on education. Since terrorists may choose targets endogenously, we construct a set of novel instruments. To that end, we leverage exogenous variation from a local terrorist group's revenues and its affiliation with al-Qaeda. Across several Kenyan datasets we find that attacks suppress school enrolment more than predicted by difference-in-differences-type estimators. This indicates that terrorists target areas experiencing unobserved, positive shocks. Evidence suggests fears and concerns as mechanisms of impact, rather than educational supply.

Suggested Citation

  • Alfano, Marco & Goerlach, Joseph-Simon, 2023. "Instrumenting the effect of terrorism on education in Kenya," CEPR Discussion Papers 18559, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:18559
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Instrumental variables;

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • I25 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Economic Development
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

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