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Global Liquidity and Impairment of Local Monetary Policy

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  • Peydró, José-Luis
  • Fendoglu, Salih
  • Gulsen, Eda

Abstract

We show that global liquidity limits the effectiveness of local monetary policy on credit markets. The mechanism is via a bank carry trade in international markets when local monetary policy tightens. For identification, we exploit global (VIX, U.S. monetary policy) shocks and loan-level data —the credit and international interbank registers— from a large emerging market, Turkey. Softer global liquidity conditions attenuate the pass-through of local monetary policy tightening on loan rates, especially for banks with more access to international wholesale markets. Effects are also important for other credit margins and for risk-taking, e.g. riskier borrowers in FX loans or defaults.

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  • Peydró, José-Luis & Fendoglu, Salih & Gulsen, Eda, 2020. "Global Liquidity and Impairment of Local Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 15273, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:15273
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    2. Kadırgan, Can & Özlü, Pınar, 2023. "Financial crisis, global liquidity and trade credit channel: Evidence from Türkiye," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Global financial cycle; Monetary policy; Emerging markets; Banks; Carry trade;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General

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