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Health effects and recreation: a model for incorporating the costs of imperfect information

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  • infocede

Abstract

El modelo discreto de decisión es modificado para incluir explícitamente la morbilidad causada por la contaminación y calcular los costos de la información imperfecta. El modelo se aplica para valorar los beneficios de reducir la contaminación de patógenos en la Bahía de Cartagena. Los resultados confirman que ignorar la morbilidad causada por la contaminación y la información imperfecta sesga las medidas de bienestar. Las pérdidas en bienestar del modelo propuesto son 1.85 veces más altas que las pérdidas calculadas con base en los modelos tradicionales. Los beneficios de informar a los usuarios de las playas acerca de los niveles de contaminación y sus efectos sobre la salud alcanzan más de la mitad de las pérdidas en bienestar ocasionadas por un incremento del 30% en la contaminación. Este resultado es de gran interés para los países en desarrollo, los cuales tienen restricciones para invertir en programas de descontaminación. En el corto plazo la información puede ser un sustituto a dichos programas.

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  • infocede, 2001. "Health effects and recreation: a model for incorporating the costs of imperfect information," Documentos CEDE 20098, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000089:020098
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