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Die Lohnentwicklung in den mittel- und osteuropäischen Mitgliedsländern der EU

Author

Listed:
  • Vasily Astrov
  • Mario Holzner
  • Sebastian Leitner
  • Isilda Mara
  • Leon Podkaminer
  • Armon Rezai

Abstract

This publication is available in German language only. For a brief English summary see further below. Die Arbeitsmärkte in den mittel- und osteuropäischen Mitgliedsländern der EU (EU-MOE-8) haben sich seit der globalen Wirtschaftskrise von 2008-2009 deutlich verbessert. Die Arbeitslosenraten gingen kontinuierlich zurück, in erster Linie aufgrund rückläufiger demographischer Entwicklungen und massiver Auswanderung Richtung Westen, was eine Schrumpfung der Bevölkerung im erwerbsfähigen Alter zur Folge hatte. Trotzdem war das Lohnwachstum in den EU-MOE-8 noch bis vor kurzem eher verhalten, was dazu führte, dass die Lohnquote generell stabil blieb. Die sogenannte Phillips-Kurve, die einen negativen Zusammenhang zwischen Arbeitslosigkeit und Lohnwachstum darstellt, gilt also in diesem Zeitraum für die meisten EU-MOE-8 nicht – anders als etwa in Österreich oder Deutschland. Der Hauptgrund dafür ist die voranschreitende Flexibilisierung und Liberalisierung der Arbeitsmärkte der EU-MOE-Länder in den Jahren seit der Wirtschaftskrise. Vor allem die Lohnverhandlungsmechanismen wurden dezentralisiert, und der Grad der kollektivvertraglichen Abdeckung ging, zum Teil dramatisch, zurück. Dies hatte tendenziell eine Verschlechterung der Verhandlungsposition der ArbeitnehmerInnen zur Folge, wodurch die positiven Effekte der allgemeinen Verbesserung der Arbeitsmarktlage konterkariert wurden. English Summary Wage developments in the Central and East European Member States of the EU Labour markets in the Central and East European Member States of the EU (EU-CEE-8) have improved significantly since the global economic crisis of 2008-2009. Unemployment rates declined steadily, primarily due to adverse demographic trends and massive outward migration to the West, which resulted in a decline in the working-age population. Nevertheless, until recently wage growth in EU-CEE-8 was rather restrained, resulting in generally stable wage shares. The so-called Phillips curve, which represents a ne
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Suggested Citation

  • Vasily Astrov & Mario Holzner & Sebastian Leitner & Isilda Mara & Leon Podkaminer & Armon Rezai, 2018. "Die Lohnentwicklung in den mittel- und osteuropäischen Mitgliedsländern der EU," Working Paper Reihe der AK Wien - Materialien zu Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft 178, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik.
  • Handle: RePEc:clr:mwugar:178
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Lübker, Malte & Janssen, Thilo, 2022. "Europäischer Tarifbericht des WSI - 2021/2022: Tarifpolitik im Zeichen von Krise, Krieg und Inflation," WSI Reports 77, The Institute of Economic and Social Research (WSI), Hans Böckler Foundation.
    3. Seibert, Holger & Wiethölter, Doris, 2020. "Grenzpendler aus Polen in Berlin-Brandenburg," IAB-Regional. Berichte und Analysen aus dem Regionalen Forschungsnetz. IAB Berlin-Brandenburg 202001, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    4. Richard Grieveson, 2018. "Demographic decline does not necessarily condemn CESEE EU countries to a low growth future," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q3-18, pages 122-130.
    5. Vasily Astrov, 2019. "Labour Market Trends in Visegrád Countries: Implications for Austria," wiiw Policy Notes 33, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J4 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets
    • J50 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor-Management Relations, Trade Unions, and Collective Bargaining - - - General

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