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Estimating SARB's Policy Reaction Rule

Author

Listed:
  • Alberto Ortiz
  • Federico Sturzenegger
  • Ashoka Mody

Abstract

This paper uses a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model to estimate the South African Reserve Bank’s (SARB) policy reaction rule. We find that the SARB has a stable rule very much in line with those estimated for Canada, UK, Australia and New Zealand. Relative to other emerging economies the policy reaction function of the SARB appears to be much more stable with a consistent anti-inflation bias, a somewhat larger weight on output and a very low weight on the exchange rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Alberto Ortiz & Federico Sturzenegger & Ashoka Mody, 2008. "Estimating SARB's Policy Reaction Rule," CID Working Papers 165, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
    • Handle: RePEc:cid:wpfacu:165
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary Policy Rules; Exchange Rates; Structural Estimation; Bayesian Analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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