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Monetary Policy Surprises on the Banking Sector: the Role of the Information and Pure Monetary Shocks

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  • Felipe Beltrán
  • David Coble

Abstract

This paper analyzes how monetary policy surprises in Chile affects the real and financial sector separating between a pure monetary policy shock and an information shock. Using inter-day movements of futures of interest rate in the banking system, we identify an information shock when labor data is released and a pure monetary policy shock when the central bank reveals their interest rate decision, and their effects are quantified through an external vector autoregression model. Our results suggest that a pure monetary policy shock produce an appreciation of nominal exchange rate, and contractionary effects on the economy. However, an information shock does not necessarily produce adverse effects. This paper contribute to the literature in two dimensions: studying the effect of the main driver behind the central bank announcements, and their transmission to the banking sector and consequently to the real and monetary sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Felipe Beltrán & David Coble, 2023. "Monetary Policy Surprises on the Banking Sector: the Role of the Information and Pure Monetary Shocks," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 979, Central Bank of Chile.
    • Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchwp:979
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Karel Mertens & Morten O. Ravn, 2013. "The Dynamic Effects of Personal and Corporate Income Tax Changes in the United States," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(4), pages 1212-1247, June.
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