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Assessing Inflation Targeting in Latin America With a DSGE Model

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  • John McDermott
  • Peter McMenamin

Abstract

In this paper we assess Inflation Targeting with a unique treatment and control group of strictly Latin American countries. We estimate a small Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model to determine whether economic behavior within an economy fundamentally changes under Inflation Targeting. We find that although Inflation Targeting central banks appear to be if anything, slightly more aggressive in responding to inflation than Non-Inflation Targeting central banks, this has not resulted in more forward looking inflation expectations by economic agents.

Suggested Citation

  • John McDermott & Peter McMenamin, 2008. "Assessing Inflation Targeting in Latin America With a DSGE Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 469, Central Bank of Chile.
    • Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchwp:469
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    File URL: https://www.bcentral.cl/documents/33528/133326/DTBC_469.pdf
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    7. Rashid Sbia & Muhammad Shahbaz & Ilhan Ozturk, 2017. "Economic growth, financial development, urbanisation and electricity consumption nexus in UAE," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 527-549, January.
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    10. Carlos A. Carrasco & Jesús Ferreiro, 2011. "Inflation Targeting and Economic Performance: The Case of Mexico," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 58(5), pages 675-692, December.
    11. Valera, Harold Glenn A. & Holmes, Mark J. & Hassan, Gazi M., 2017. "How credible is inflation targeting in Asia? A quantile unit root perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 194-210.
    12. Muhammad Shahbaz & Ijaz Ur Rehman & Ahmed Taneem Muzaffar, 2015. "Re-Visiting Financial Development and Economic Growth Nexus: The Role of Capitalization in Bangladesh," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 83(3), pages 452-471, September.
    13. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Loganathan, Nanthakumar & Muzaffar, Ahmed Taneem & Ahmed, Khalid & Ali Jabran, Muhammad, 2016. "How urbanization affects CO2 emissions in Malaysia? The application of STIRPAT model," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 83-93.
    14. Carlos Carrasco & Jesus Ferreiro, 2013. "Inflation targeting in Mexico," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 341-372.
    15. Yi, Sun & Raghutla, Chandrashekar & Chittedi, Krishna Reddy & Fareed, Zeeshan, 2023. "How economic policy uncertainty and financial development contribute to renewable energy consumption? The importance of economic globalization," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 1357-1367.
    16. Ashutosh Dash & Sangram Keshari Jena & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2022. "Dynamics between Power Consumption and Economic Growth at Aggregated and Disaggregated (Sectoral) Level Using the Frequency Domain Causality," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-18, May.
    17. Harold Glenn A. Valera & Mark J. Holmes & Gazi M. Hassan, 2018. "Is inflation targeting credible in Asia? A panel GARCH approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 523-546, March.
    18. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Chaudhary, A.R. & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2017. "Does urbanization cause increasing energy demand in Pakistan? Empirical evidence from STIRPAT model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 83-93.
    19. Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Muhammad Shahbaz & Habib Nawaz Khan & Radzuan Bin Razali, 2021. "ICT, Financial Development, Economic Growth and Electricity Consumption: New Evidence from Malaysia," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 22(4), pages 941-962, August.
    20. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Arouri, Mohamed & Teulon, Frédéric, 2014. "Short- and long-run relationships between natural gas consumption and economic growth: Evidence from Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 219-226.
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