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Credibility and Inflation Targeting in an Emerging Market: Lessons from the Chilean Experience

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  • Luis F. Céspedes
  • Claudio Soto

Abstract

This paper assesses the challenges that the lack of credibility poses for the implementation of inflation targeting, and for the design of inflation stabilization processes in emerging market economies. We also discuss the role that credibility has played in rationalizing the main elements of the disinflationary process in Chile during the 1990s and in explaining the grounds behind the monetary policy framework's changes in Chile at the end of the last decade.

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  • Luis F. Céspedes & Claudio Soto, 2005. "Credibility and Inflation Targeting in an Emerging Market: Lessons from the Chilean Experience," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(3), pages 545-575, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:intfin:v:8:y:2005:i:3:p:545-575
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2362.2005.00169.x
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    1. César Calderón & Roberto Duncan & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2004. "The role of credibility in the cyclical properties of macroeconomic policies in emerging economies," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 140(4), pages 613-633, December.
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    8. Luis Felipe Céspedes & Ilan Goldfajn & Phil Lowe & Rodrigo O. Valdés, 2006. "Policy Responses to External Shocks: The Experiences of Australia, Brazil, and Chile," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Ricardo Caballero & César Calderón & Luis Felipe Céspedes & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Sc (ed.),External Vulnerability and Preventive Policies, edition 1, volume 10, chapter 5, pages 109-170, Central Bank of Chile.
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    11. Luis Felipe Céspedes C. & Ilan Goldfajn & Phil Lowe & Rodrigo Valdés P., 2005. "Policy Responses to external Shocks in Australia, Brazil and Chile," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 8(2), pages 7-44, August.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Saborowski, Christian, 2010. "Inflation targeting as a means of achieving disinflation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(12), pages 2510-2532, December.
    2. Vasco Cúrdia, 2005. "Monetary Policy under Sudden Stops," International Finance 0510025, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Dec 2005.
    3. Kose, M. Ayhan & Matsuoka, Hideaki & Panizza, Ugo & Vorisek, Dana, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 13601, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Luis F. Céspedes & Claudio Soto, 2007. "Credibility and Inflation Targeting in Chile," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Frederic S. Miskin & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Se (ed.),Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting, edition 1, volume 11, chapter 14, pages 547-578, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. Luis A.V. Catão & Adrian Pagan, 2011. "The Credit Channel and Monetary Transmission in Brazil and Chile: A Structured VAR Approach," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Luis Felipe Céspedes & Roberto Chang & Diego Saravia (ed.),Monetary Policy under Financial Turbulence, edition 1, volume 16, chapter 5, pages 105-144, Central Bank of Chile.
    6. Carlos Garcia & Jorge Restrepo & Mr. Scott Roger, 2009. "Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes," IMF Working Papers 2009/234, International Monetary Fund.
    7. A. R. Pagan & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Mr. Luis Catão, 2008. "Monetary Transmission in an Emerging Targeter: The Case of Brazil," IMF Working Papers 2008/191, International Monetary Fund.
    8. John McDermott & Peter McMenamin, 2008. "Assessing Inflation Targeting in Latin America With a DSGE Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 469, Central Bank of Chile.
    9. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça, 2009. "Output‐inflation and unemployment‐inflation trade‐offs under inflation targeting," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 36(1), pages 66-82, January.
    10. Mr. Scott Roger, 2009. "Inflation Targeting at 20 - Achievements and Challenges," IMF Working Papers 2009/236, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Luis F. Céspedes & Marcelo Ochoa & Claudio Soto, 2005. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 355, Central Bank of Chile.
    12. Francisco J. S. Rocha & Marcos R. V. Magalhaes & Ã tila Amaral Brilhante, 2022. "A BVAR Analysis on Channels of Monetary Policy Transmission in Brazil," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(3), pages 1-19, February.
    13. Luis F. Céspedes C. & Claudio Soto G., 2006. "Inflation Targeting And Monetary Policy Credibility In Chile," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 9(3), pages 53-70, December.
    14. Carlos Garcia & Jorge Restrepo & Scott Roger, 2009. "Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes1," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv226, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.

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