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A Few Bad Apples? Criminal Charges, Political Careers, and Policy Outcomes

Author

Listed:
  • Diogo G. C. Britto
  • Gianmarco Daniele
  • Marco Le Moglie
  • Paolo Pinotti
  • Breno Sampaio

Abstract

We study the prevalence and effects of individuals with past criminal charges among candidates and elected politicians in Brazil. Individuals with past criminal charges are twice as likely to both run for office and be elected compared to other individuals. This pattern persists across political parties and government levels, even when controlling for a broad set of observable char-acteristics. Randomized anti-corruption audits reduce the share of mayors with criminal records, but only when conducted in election years. Using a regression discontinuity design focusing on close elections, we demonstrate that the election of mayors with criminal backgrounds leads to higher rates of underweight births and infant mortality. Additionally, there is an increase in political patronage, particularly in the health sector, which is consistent with the negative impacts on local public health outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Diogo G. C. Britto & Gianmarco Daniele & Marco Le Moglie & Paolo Pinotti & Breno Sampaio, 2024. "A Few Bad Apples? Criminal Charges, Political Careers, and Policy Outcomes," CESifo Working Paper Series 11382, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_11382
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    File URL: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp11382.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    politicians; crime; audits; policies; patronage;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • J45 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Public Sector Labor Markets
    • P16 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Capitalist Institutions; Welfare State

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