IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cep/stiecm/626.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Regression discontinuity design with potentially many covariates

Author

Listed:
  • Yoici Arai
  • Taisuke Otsu
  • Myung Hwan Seo

Abstract

This paper studies the case of possibly high-dimensional covariates in the regression discontinuity design (RDD) analysis. In particular, we propose estimation and inference methods for the RDD models with covariate selection which perform stably regardless of the number of covariates. The proposed methods combine the local approach using kernel weights with l1-penalization to handle high-dimensional covariates, and the combination is new in the literature. We provide theoretical and numerical results which illustrate the usefulness of the proposed methods. Theoretically, we present risk and coverage properties for our point estimation and inference methods, respectively. Numerically, our simulation experiments and empirical example show the robust behaviors of the proposed methods to the number of covariates in terms of bias and variance for point estimation and coverage probability and interval length for inference.

Suggested Citation

  • Yoici Arai & Taisuke Otsu & Myung Hwan Seo, 2022. "Regression discontinuity design with potentially many covariates," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 626, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
  • Handle: RePEc:cep:stiecm:626
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://sticerd.lse.ac.uk/dps/em/em626.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D. Cattaneo & Max H. Farrell, 2018. "On the Effect of Bias Estimation on Coverage Accuracy in Nonparametric Inference," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(522), pages 767-779, April.
    2. David Card & David S. Lee & Zhuan Pei & Andrea Weber, 2015. "Inference on Causal Effects in a Generalized Regression Kink Design," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 83, pages 2453-2483, November.
    3. Timothy B. Armstrong & Michal Kolesár, 2018. "Optimal Inference in a Class of Regression Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(2), pages 655-683, March.
    4. Markus Frölich & Martin Huber, 2019. "Including Covariates in the Regression Discontinuity Design," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 736-748, October.
    5. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D. Cattaneo & Max H. Farrell & Rocío Titiunik, 2019. "Regression Discontinuity Designs Using Covariates," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 101(3), pages 442-451, July.
    6. Imbens, Guido W. & Lemieux, Thomas, 2008. "Regression discontinuity designs: A guide to practice," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 142(2), pages 615-635, February.
    7. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D. Cattaneo & Rocio Titiunik, 2014. "Robust Nonparametric Confidence Intervals for Regression‐Discontinuity Designs," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 82, pages 2295-2326, November.
    8. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D. Cattaneo & Max H. Farrell & Roc ́ıo Titiunik, 2017. "rdrobust: Software for regression-discontinuity designs," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 17(2), pages 372-404, June.
    9. Alexandre Belloni & Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Christian Hansen & Kengo Kato, 2018. "High-dimensional econometrics and regularized GMM," CeMMAP working papers CWP35/18, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    10. David Card & Alexandre Mas & Jesse Rothstein, 2008. "Tipping and the Dynamics of Segregation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 123(1), pages 177-218.
    11. Peter Ganong & Simon Jäger, 2018. "A Permutation Test for the Regression Kink Design," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(522), pages 494-504, April.
    12. Matias D. Cattaneo & Rocío Titiunik, 2022. "Regression Discontinuity Designs," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 821-851, August.
    13. Myung Hwan Seo & Yoichi Arai & Taisuke Otsu, 2021. "Regression Discontinuity Design with Potentially Many Covariates," Working Paper Series no142, Institute of Economic Research, Seoul National University.
    14. Friedman, Jerome H. & Hastie, Trevor & Tibshirani, Rob, 2010. "Regularization Paths for Generalized Linear Models via Coordinate Descent," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 33(i01).
    15. Matias D. Cattaneo & Luke Keele & Rocio Titiunik, 2021. "Covariate Adjustment in Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 2110.08410, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    16. Jens Ludwig & Douglas L. Miller, 2007. "Does Head Start Improve Children's Life Chances? Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 122(1), pages 159-208.
    17. Chatterjee, A. & Lahiri, S. N., 2011. "Bootstrapping Lasso Estimators," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 106(494), pages 608-625.
    18. Guido Imbens & Karthik Kalyanaraman, 2012. "Optimal Bandwidth Choice for the Regression Discontinuity Estimator," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 79(3), pages 933-959.
    19. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D. Cattaneo & Rocío Titiunik, 2015. "Optimal Data-Driven Regression Discontinuity Plots," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 110(512), pages 1753-1769, December.
    20. Hahn, Jinyong & Todd, Petra & Van der Klaauw, Wilbert, 2001. "Identification and Estimation of Treatment Effects with a Regression-Discontinuity Design," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(1), pages 201-209, January.
    21. Sokbae Lee & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2016. "The lasso for high dimensional regression with a possible change point," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(1), pages 193-210, January.
    22. Alexander Kreiss & Christoph Rothe, 2023. "Inference in regression discontinuity designs with high-dimensional covariates," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 26(2), pages 105-123.
    23. Alexander Krei{ss} & Christoph Rothe, 2021. "Inference in Regression Discontinuity Designs with High-Dimensional Covariates," Papers 2110.13725, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    24. Alexandre Belloni & Victor Chernozhukov & Christian Hansen, 2014. "Inference on Treatment Effects after Selection among High-Dimensional Controlsâ€," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 81(2), pages 608-650.
    25. Claudia Noack & Christoph Rothe, 2019. "Bias-Aware Inference in Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 1906.04631, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    26. Cun-Hui Zhang & Stephanie S. Zhang, 2014. "Confidence intervals for low dimensional parameters in high dimensional linear models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 76(1), pages 217-242, January.
    27. Lihua Lei & Peng Ding, 2021. "Regression adjustment in completely randomized experiments with a diverging number of covariates [Covariance adjustments for the analysis of randomized field experiments]," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 108(4), pages 815-828.
    28. Porter, Jack & Yu, Ping, 2015. "Regression discontinuity designs with unknown discontinuity points: Testing and estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(1), pages 132-147.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yoichi Arai & Taisuke Otsu & Myung Hwan Seo, 2021. "Regression Discontinuity Design with Potentially Many Covariates," Papers 2109.08351, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    2. Matias D. Cattaneo & Rocío Titiunik, 2022. "Regression Discontinuity Designs," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 821-851, August.
    3. Matias D. Cattaneo & Luke Keele & Rocio Titiunik, 2021. "Covariate Adjustment in Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 2110.08410, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    4. Matias D. Cattaneo & Luke Keele & Rocio Titiunik, 2023. "A Guide to Regression Discontinuity Designs in Medical Applications," Papers 2302.07413, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    5. Alexander Krei{ss} & Christoph Rothe, 2021. "Inference in Regression Discontinuity Designs with High-Dimensional Covariates," Papers 2110.13725, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    6. Masayuki Sawada & Takuya Ishihara & Daisuke Kurisu & Yasumasa Matsuda, 2024. "Local-Polynomial Estimation for Multivariate Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 2402.08941, arXiv.org.
    7. Alexander Kreiss & Christoph Rothe, 2023. "Inference in regression discontinuity designs with high-dimensional covariates," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 26(2), pages 105-123.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yoici Arai & Taisuke Otsu & Myung Hwan Seo, 2019. "Causal inference on regression discontinuity designs by high-dimensional methods," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 601, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    2. Blaise Melly & Rafael Lalive, 2020. "Estimation, Inference, and Interpretation in the Regression Discontinuity Design," Diskussionsschriften dp2016, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
    3. Matias D. Cattaneo & Rocío Titiunik, 2022. "Regression Discontinuity Designs," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 821-851, August.
    4. Yang He & Otávio Bartalotti, 2020. "Wild bootstrap for fuzzy regression discontinuity designs: obtaining robust bias-corrected confidence intervals," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 23(2), pages 211-231.
    5. Tuvaandorj, Purevdorj, 2020. "Regression discontinuity designs, white noise models, and minimax," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 587-608.
    6. Crespo Cristian, 2020. "Beyond Manipulation: Administrative Sorting in Regression Discontinuity Designs," Journal of Causal Inference, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 164-181, January.
    7. Likai Chen & Georg Keilbar & Liangjun Su & Weining Wang, 2023. "Inference on many jumps in nonparametric panel regression models," Papers 2312.01162, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    8. Kettlewell, Nathan & Siminski, Peter, 2020. "Optimal Model Selection in RDD and Related Settings Using Placebo Zones," IZA Discussion Papers 13639, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. Jin-young Choi & Myoung-jae Lee, 2017. "Regression discontinuity: review with extensions," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1217-1246, December.
    10. Crespo Cristian, 2020. "Beyond Manipulation: Administrative Sorting in Regression Discontinuity Designs," Journal of Causal Inference, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 164-181, January.
    11. Mellace, Giovanni & Ventura, Marco, 2019. "Intended and unintended effects of public incentives for innovation. Quasi-experimental evidence from Italy," Discussion Papers on Economics 9/2019, University of Southern Denmark, Department of Economics.
    12. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D Cattaneo & Max H Farrell, 2020. "Optimal bandwidth choice for robust bias-corrected inference in regression discontinuity designs," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 23(2), pages 192-210.
    13. Hansen, Benjamin & Miller, Keaton & Weber, Caroline, 2020. "Federalism, partial prohibition, and cross-border sales: Evidence from recreational marijuana," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    14. Mauricio Villamizar‐Villegas & Freddy A. Pinzon‐Puerto & Maria Alejandra Ruiz‐Sanchez, 2022. "A comprehensive history of regression discontinuity designs: An empirical survey of the last 60 years," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 1130-1178, September.
    15. Huber, Martin, 2019. "An introduction to flexible methods for policy evaluation," FSES Working Papers 504, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland.
    16. Xiao Huang & Zhaoguo Zhan, 2022. "Local Composite Quantile Regression for Regression Discontinuity," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(4), pages 1863-1875, October.
    17. Masayuki Sawada & Takuya Ishihara & Daisuke Kurisu & Yasumasa Matsuda, 2024. "Local-Polynomial Estimation for Multivariate Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 2402.08941, arXiv.org.
    18. Mellace, Giovanni & Ventura, Marco, 2023. "The short-run effects of public incentives for innovation in Italy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    19. Deng, Taotao & Hu, Yukun & Ma, Mulan, 2019. "Regional policy and tourism: A quasi-natural experiment," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1-16.
    20. Matias D. Cattaneo & Luke Keele & Rocio Titiunik, 2021. "Covariate Adjustment in Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 2110.08410, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Regression discontinuity design; Covariate selection; Lasso;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cep:stiecm:626. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://sticerd.lse.ac.uk/_new/publications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.