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Distribution Free Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Linear Processes

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  • Miguel A. Delgado
  • Javier Hidalgo
  • Carlos Velasco

Abstract

This article proposes a class of goodness-of-fit tests for the autocorrelation function of a time series process, including those exhibiting long-range dependence. Test statistics for composite hypotheses are functionals of a (approximated) martingale transformation of the Bartlett's Tp-process with estimated parameters, which converges in distribution to the standard Brownian Motion under the null hypothesis. We discuss tests of different nature such as omnibus, directional and Portmanteau-type tests. A Monte Carlo study illustrates the performance of the different tests in practice.

Suggested Citation

  • Miguel A. Delgado & Javier Hidalgo & Carlos Velasco, 2005. "Distribution Free Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Linear Processes," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 482, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    • Handle: RePEc:cep:stiecm:482
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    9. Liudas Giraitis & Javier Hidalgo & Peter M Robinson, 2001. "Gaussian Estimation of Parametric Spectral Density with Unknown Pole," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 424, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Delgado, Miguel A. & Velasco, Carlos, 2007. "A new class of distribution-free tests for time series models specification," UC3M Working papers. Economics we078047, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    2. Can, S.U. & Einmahl, John & Laeven, R.J.A., 2017. "Asymptotically Distribution-Free Goodness-of-Fit Testing for Copulas," Discussion Paper 2017-052, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    3. Hidalgo, J., 2008. "Specification testing for regression models with dependent data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 143-165, March.
    4. Wenceslao González-Manteiga & Rosa Crujeiras, 2013. "An updated review of Goodness-of-Fit tests for regression models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 22(3), pages 361-411, September.
    5. Delgado, Miguel A. & Arteaga-Molina, Luis A., 2021. "Testing constancy in varying coefficient models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 625-644.
    6. Delgado, Miguel A. & Velasco, Carlos, 2010. "Distribution-free tests for time series models specification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 155(2), pages 128-137, April.
    7. Song, Kyungchul, 2010. "Testing semiparametric conditional moment restrictions using conditional martingale transforms," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(1), pages 74-84, January.
    8. Komarova, Tatiana & Hidalgo, Javier, 2023. "Testing nonparametric shape restrictions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121410, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Javier Hidalgo & Myung Hwan Seo, 2013. "Specification For Lattice Processes," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 562, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    10. Javier Hidalgo, 2007. "Specification Testing Forregression Models Withdependent Data," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 518, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    11. Chung, EunYi & Olivares, Mauricio, 2021. "Permutation test for heterogeneous treatment effects with a nuisance parameter," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 148-174.
    12. Hidalgo, Javier & Zaffaroni, Paolo, 2007. "A goodness-of-fit test for ARCH([infinity]) models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 835-875, December.
    13. Hidalgo, Javier, 2007. "Specification testing for regression models with dependent data," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 6799, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    14. Zhu, Ke & Li, Wai Keung, 2015. "A bootstrapped spectral test for adequacy in weak ARMA models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 113-130.
    15. Eichler, Michael, 2008. "Testing nonparametric and semiparametric hypotheses in vector stationary processes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(5), pages 968-1009, May.
    16. Sami Umut Can & John H. J. Einmahl & Roger J. A. Laeven, 2024. "Two-Sample Testing for Tail Copulas with an Application to Equity Indices," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(1), pages 147-159, January.
    17. Hidalgo, Javier, 2009. "Goodness of fit for lattice processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(2), pages 113-128, August.
    18. Proietti, Tommaso & Luati, Alessandra, 2015. "The generalised autocovariance function," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(1), pages 245-257.
    19. Hill, Jonathan B. & Motegi, Kaiji, 2019. "Testing the white noise hypothesis of stock returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 231-242.
    20. Sami Umut Can & John H. J. Einmahl & Roger J. A. Laeven, 2024. "Two-Sample Testing for Tail Copulas with an Application to Equity Indices," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(1), pages 147-159, January.
    21. Hidalgo, Javier & Seo, Myung Hwan, 2015. "Specification Tests For Lattice Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(2), pages 294-336, April.
    22. Guay, Alain & Guerre, Emmanuel & Lazarová, Štěpána, 2013. "Robust adaptive rate-optimal testing for the white noise hypothesis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(2), pages 134-145.
    23. Can, S.U. & Einmahl, John & Laeven, R.J.A., 2020. "Goodness-of-fit testing for copulas: A distribution-free approach," Other publications TiSEM 211b2be9-b46e-41e2-9b95-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    24. Delgado, Miguel A. & Velasco, Carlos, 2010. "A distribution-free transform of the residuals sample autocorrelations with application to model checking," UC3M Working papers. Economics we101707, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    25. Philip Preuss & Mathias Vetter & Holger Dette, 2013. "Testing Semiparametric Hypotheses in Locally Stationary Processes," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 40(3), pages 417-437, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Nonparametric model checking; spectral distribution; linear processes; martingale decomposition; local alternatives; omnibus; smooth and directional tests; long-range alternatives;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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