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Foreseeing the Market for Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Vehicles: Stakeholders' Perspectives and Models of New Technology Diffusion

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  • Collantes, Gustavo O

Abstract

In this paper we incorporate the expert opinions of key stakeholders in the estimation of the parameters characterizing the diffusion of a new technology. We focus on the case of fuel-cell vehicles, looking at the market-share dynamics in the presence of competing vehicle technologies. We build upon previous work on the diffusion of innovations and use data obtained from a survey of stakeholders of the hydrogen policy process.

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  • Collantes, Gustavo O, 2005. "Foreseeing the Market for Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Vehicles: Stakeholders' Perspectives and Models of New Technology Diffusion," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt8918f70m, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdl:itsdav:qt8918f70m
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Collantes, Gustavo O, 2005. "The Hydrogen Policy Survey: Descriptive Statistics of the Study Sample and Their Policy Perspectives," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt7dd0832s, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    2. Bass, Frank M, 1980. "The Relationship between Diffusion Rates, Experience Curves, and Demand Elasticities for Consumer Durable Technological Innovations," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 53(3), pages 51-67, July.
    3. Collantes, G O, 2005. "The Hydrogen Policy Survey: Descriptive Statistics Of The Study Sample And Their Policy Perspectives," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt0kc1b3mr, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    4. Frank M. Bass & Alain V. Bultez, 1982. "Technical Note—A Note on Optimal Strategic Pricing of Technological Innovations," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 1(4), pages 371-378.
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    Engineering; UCD-ITS-RR-05-27;

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