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Short on Shots: Are Calls on Cooperative Restraint Effective in Managing a Flu Vaccines Shortage?

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  • Villas-Boas, Sofia B
  • Dejanvry, Alain
  • Sadoulet, Elisabeth

Abstract

We conducted a randomized experiment at the time of the 2004 flu vaccine shortage, providing information about the sharply reduced number of clinics and their schedule, and an appeal on cooperative restraint to a campus population. This strategy was intended to reduce demand for vaccination among non-priority individuals and to free available supplies for the priority population. It failed to achieve its purpose. Information induced a net increase in vaccines distributed and, perversely, the net increase originated entirely in non-priority individuals. The surprising finding is that calls on cooperative restraint induced an uncalled for positive response among priority individuals, while they induced an increase in cheating among non-priority individuals. Age as a qualifying factor was in particular widely abused, with the number of "65 years old" more than twice the predicted value, while about half of the predicted 61-64 years old were missing.
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  • Villas-Boas, Sofia B & Dejanvry, Alain & Sadoulet, Elisabeth, 2010. "Short on Shots: Are Calls on Cooperative Restraint Effective in Managing a Flu Vaccines Shortage?," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt09q664sc, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdl:agrebk:qt09q664sc
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    3. Liebman, Eli & Lawler, Emily C. & Dunn, Abe & Ridley, David B., 2023. "Consequences of a shortage and rationing: Evidence from a pediatric vaccine," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).

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