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Interdependence Between Foreign Exchange Markets and Stock Markets in Selected European Countries

Author

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  • Mevlud Islami

    (Europäisches Institut für Internationale WIrtschaftsbeziehungen (EIIW))

Abstract

In this analysis the interdependence between foreign exchange markets and stock markets for selected accession and cohesion countries is discussed. This includes basic theoretical approaches. Monthly data for the nominal stock market indices and nominal exchange rates are used, where Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Greece, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovenia, and Hungary are included in the analysis. From the cointegration analysis and VAR analysis both long-term links and short-term links for Poland are identified. Conversely, for Slovenia, Hungary, Ireland, Spain, and Greece merely short-term links resulted. Surprisingly, the direction of causation is unambiguously from the stock market index to the exchange rate for all six countries considered.

Suggested Citation

  • Mevlud Islami, 2008. "Interdependence Between Foreign Exchange Markets and Stock Markets in Selected European Countries," EIIW Discussion paper disbei160, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:bwu:eiiwdp:disbei160
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gebhard Kirchgässner & Jürgen Wolters & Uwe Hassler, 2013. "Introduction to Modern Time Series Analysis," Springer Texts in Business and Economics, Springer, edition 2, number 978-3-642-33436-8, June.
    2. Oliver Holtemöller, 2005. "Uncovered interest rate parity and analysis of monetary convergence of potential EMU accession countries," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 33-63, June.
    3. Lütkepohl,Helmut & Krätzig,Markus (ed.), 2004. "Applied Time Series Econometrics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521839198, September.
    4. Lütkepohl,Helmut & Krätzig,Markus (ed.), 2004. "Applied Time Series Econometrics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521547871, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Anisul M. Islam & Md. Mohibul Islam, 2019. "Relationship between Exchange Rate and Equity Prices in an Emerging Market: A Continuous Wavelet-based Analysis for Bangladesh," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 18(2), pages 165-193, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rate; Stock Markets; Cointegration; VAR; European Integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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