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The known unknowns and the unknown unknowns of the EMU

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  • Jean Pisani-Ferry

Abstract

• The potential for financial disruption was vastly underestimated. Economists generally did not consider, or underestimated, the possibility of balance of payment crises such as those experienced by southern European countries, or the risk of a feedback loop between banks and sovereigns. • Remedying EMU’s systemic deficiencies is on the policy agenda. Banking union would go a long way towards addressing the fault lines. The urgent question for economists is...

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  • Jean Pisani-Ferry, 2012. "The known unknowns and the unknown unknowns of the EMU," Policy Contributions 756, Bruegel.
    • Handle: RePEc:bre:polcon:756
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    Cited by:

    1. Lucjan T Orlowski & Anna Tsibulina, 2014. "Integration of Central and Eastern European and the Euro-Area Financial Markets: Repercussions from the Global Financial Crisis," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 56(3), pages 376-395, September.
    2. Sergio Cesaratto, 2017. "Alternative interpretations of a stateless currency crisis," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 41(4), pages 977-998.
    3. Rosati Dariusz K., 2017. "Asymmetric Shocks in the Euro Area: Convergence or Divergence?," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 53(3), pages 7-25, September.
    4. Pierre Jaillet & Edouard Vidon, 2018. "What risk sharing and macroeconomic policy instruments in the Economic and Monetary Union?," Rue de la Banque, Banque de France, issue 58, march.
    5. Eszter Boros, 2017. "Endogenous Imbalances in a Single Currency Area," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 16(2), pages 86-118.
    6. Mario Sarcinelli, 2013. "L'unione bancaria europea e la stabilizzazione dell'Eurozona," Moneta e Credito, Economia civile, vol. 66(261), pages 7-42.
    7. Mario Sarcinelli, 2013. "The European Banking Union: Will It Be a True Union without Risk Sharing?," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 66(265), pages 137-167.
    8. Mariarosaria Comunale & Jeroen Hessel, 2014. "Current account imbalances in the Euro area: Competitiveness or financial cycle?," DNB Working Papers 443, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.

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