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Asian Financial Linkage: Macro-Finance Dissonance

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  • Ippei Fujiwara

    (Bank of Japan)

  • Koji Takahashi

    (Bank of Japan)

Abstract

How are Asian financial markets interlinked and how are they linked to markets in developed countries? What is the main driver of fluctuations in Asian financial markets as well as real economic activities? In order to answer these questions, we estimate the spillover index proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009) and gauge the degree of interactions in both financial markets and real economic activities among Asian economies. We first show that the degree of the international spillover in stock markets is like cookie-cutter products, namely, uniform, irrespective of the groups of countries, such as G3, NIEs and ASEAN4. This suggests the importance of the globally common shock in stock markets. We, then, discuss the macro-finance dissonance. In stock and bond markets, the US has been the main driver of fluctuations. Regarding real economic activities, China has emerged as an important source of fluctuations.

Suggested Citation

  • Ippei Fujiwara & Koji Takahashi, 2011. "Asian Financial Linkage: Macro-Finance Dissonance," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 11-E-6, Bank of Japan.
    • Handle: RePEc:boj:bojwps:11-e-6
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    Cited by:

    1. Yamamoto, Shugo, 2014. "Transmission of US financial and trade shocks to Asian economies: Implications for spillover of the 2007–2009 US financial crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 88-103.
    2. Ippei Fujiwara & Koji Takahashi, 2012. "Asian Financial Linkage: Macro‐Finance Dissonance," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(1), pages 136-159, February.
    3. Mathias Hoffmann & Wei Liao, 2011. "The Cross-Section of Country News, Decoupling Expectations, and Global Business Cycles," Working Papers 342011, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    4. Baruník, Jozef & Kočenda, Evžen & Vácha, Lukáš, 2016. "Asymmetric connectedness on the U.S. stock market: Bad and good volatility spillovers," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 55-78.
    5. The SEACEN Centre, 2013. "Finding Asia’s New Sustainable Growth Model Post GFC: The Role of the Central Banks (Proceedings of High-Level Conference)," Research Studies, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number rp91, April.
    6. Lo, Chi-Sheng, 2016. "Structural VAR analysis of monetary transmission mechanism and central bank’s response to equity volatility shock in Taiwan," MPRA Paper 74150, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Hongyi Chen & Michael Funke & Andrew Tsang, 2016. "The Diffusion and Dynamics of Producer Prices, Deflationary Pressure across Asian Countries, and the Role of China," Working Papers 152016, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    8. Mohti, Wahbeeah & Dionísio, Andreia & Vieira, Isabel & Ferreira, Paulo, 2019. "Regional and global integration of Asian stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 357-368.
    9. Rahman, Md. Saifur & Shahari, Farihana, 2017. "The nexus between financial integration and real economy: Solow-growth model concept," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1244-1253.
    10. repec:zbw:bofitp:2016_011 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Dimitrios Vortelinos & Konstantinos Gkillas (Gillas) & Costas Syriopoulos & Argyro Svingou, 2017. "Asymmetric and nonlinear inter-relations of US stock indices," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(1), pages 78-129, December.
    12. Lillie Lam & James Yetman, 2013. "Asia's Decoupling: Fact, Fairytale or Forecast?," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(3), pages 321-344, August.
    13. Hongyi Chen & Michael Funke & Andrew Tsang, 2016. "The Diffusion and Dynamics of Producer Prices, Deflationary Pressure across Asian Countries, and the Role of China," Working Papers 152016, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    14. Sachapon Tungsong & Fabio Caccioli & Tomaso Aste, 2017. "Relation between regional uncertainty spillovers in the global banking system," Papers 1702.05944, arXiv.org.
    15. Cao, Li & Jiang, Junhua & Piljak, Vanja, 2023. "Did mega-regional trade agreements reshuffle the financial influence of the US, China, and Japan in ASEAN? Evidence from the volatility-spillover effects," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    16. Lillie Lam & James Yetman, 2013. "Asia’s decoupling: fact, forecast or fiction?," BIS Working Papers 438, Bank for International Settlements.
    17. Md. Saifur Rahman & Farihana Shahari, 2019. "Does the Financial Integration in ASEAN+3 Respond to Financial Cooperation Agreement and Influence the Real Sectors?," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(01), pages 1-18, March.
    18. Chien, Mei-Se & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Hu, Te-Chung & Hu, Hui-Ting, 2015. "Dynamic Asian stock market convergence: Evidence from dynamic cointegration analysis among China and ASEAN-5," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 84-98.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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