IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bie/wpaper/701.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Hoping for the best while preparing for the worst in the face of uncertainty: a new type of incomplete preferences

Author

Listed:
  • Bardier, Pierre

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

  • Dong-Xuan, Bach

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

  • Nguyen, Van-Quy

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

Abstract

We propose and axiomatize a new model of incomplete preferences under uncertainty, which we call *hope-and-prepare preferences*. An act is considered more desirable than another when, and only when, both an optimistic evaluation, computed as the welfare level attained in a best-case scenario, and a pessimistic one, computed as the welfare level attained in a worst-case scenario, rank the former above the latter. Our comparison criterion involves multiple priors, as best and worst cases are determined among sets of probability distributions. We make the case that, compared to existing incomplete criteria under ambiguity, hope-and-prepare preferences address the trade-off between conviction and decisiveness in a new way, which is more favorable to decisiveness.

Suggested Citation

  • Bardier, Pierre & Dong-Xuan, Bach & Nguyen, Van-Quy, 2025. "Hoping for the best while preparing for the worst in the face of uncertainty: a new type of incomplete preferences," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 701, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
  • Handle: RePEc:bie:wpaper:701
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://pub.uni-bielefeld.de/download/3000922/3000923
    File Function: First Version, 2025
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Decision theory; Incomplete preference; Multiple-selves; Non-obvious manipulability;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bie:wpaper:701. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Bettina Weingarten (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/imbiede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.