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Twofold multiprior preferences and failures of contingent reasoning

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  • Echenique, Federico
  • Miyashita, Masaki
  • Nakamura, Yuta
  • Pomatto, Luciano
  • Vinson, Jamie

Abstract

We propose a model of incomplete twofold multiprior preferences, in which an act f is ranked above an act g only when f provides higher utility in a worst-case scenario than what g provides in a best-case scenario. The model explains failures of contingent reasoning, captured through a weakening of the state-by-state monotonicity (or dominance) axiom. Our model gives rise to rich comparative statics results, as well as extension exercises, and connections to choice theory. We present an application to second-price auctions.

Suggested Citation

  • Echenique, Federico & Miyashita, Masaki & Nakamura, Yuta & Pomatto, Luciano & Vinson, Jamie, 2022. "Twofold multiprior preferences and failures of contingent reasoning," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jetheo:v:202:y:2022:i:c:s0022053122000382
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2022.105448
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    3. Valenzuela-Stookey, Quitzé, 2023. "Subjective complexity under uncertainty," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 76-93.
    4. Valenzuela-Stookey, Quitzé, 2023. "Subjective complexity under uncertainty," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt4mz932j6, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Decision theory; Incomplete preference; Conservatism; Obvious dominance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D01 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • D90 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - General

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