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Detecting Jumps in High-Frequency Financial Series Using Multipower Variation

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  • Ysusi Carla

Abstract

When the log-price process incorporates a jump component, realised variance will no longer estimate the integrated variance since its probability limit will be determined by the continuous and jump components. Instead realised bipower variation, tripower variation and quadpower variation are consistent estimators of integrated variance even in the presence of jumps. In this paper we derive the limit distributions of realised tripower and quadpower variation, allowing us to compare these three estimators of integrated variance. Using the limit theories for the differences of the errors, tests for jumps are proposed for each estimator. Using simulated data, the performance of each of these tests is compared. The tests are also applied to empirical data but results need to be taken carefully as market microstructure effects may contaminate real data.

Suggested Citation

  • Ysusi Carla, 2006. "Detecting Jumps in High-Frequency Financial Series Using Multipower Variation," Working Papers 2006-10, Banco de México.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdm:wpaper:2006-10
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2006. "Econometrics of Testing for Jumps in Financial Economics Using Bipower Variation," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 4(1), pages 1-30.
    2. Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. & Graversen, Svend Erik & Jacod, Jean & Shephard, Neil, 2006. "Limit Theorems For Bipower Variation In Financial Econometrics," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(4), pages 677-719, August.
    3. Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole Eiler & Graversen, Svend Erik & Jacod, Jean & Podolskij, Mark, 2004. "A central limit theorem for realised power and bipower variations of continuous semimartingales," Technical Reports 2004,51, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
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    7. Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. & Shephard, Neil & Winkel, Matthias, 2006. "Limit theorems for multipower variation in the presence of jumps," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 116(5), pages 796-806, May.
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    11. repec:bla:jfinan:v:44:y:1989:i:5:p:1115-53 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2004. "Power and Bipower Variation with Stochastic Volatility and Jumps," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 1-37.
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    Cited by:

    1. Milan Ficura & Jiri Witzany, 2016. "Estimating Stochastic Volatility and Jumps Using High-Frequency Data and Bayesian Methods," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(4), pages 278-301, August.
    2. Ysusi Carla, 2007. "Multipower Variation Under Market Microstructure Effects," Working Papers 2007-13, Banco de México.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other

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