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The China syndrome affects banks: the credit supply channel of foreign import competition (Updated February 2020)

Author

Listed:
  • Sergio Mayordomo

    (Banco de España)

  • Omar Rachedi

    (Banco de España)

Abstract

Did the rise of Chinese import competition in the early 2000s affect banks’ credit supply policies? Using bank-firm-level data on the universe of Spanish corporate loans, we find that banks rebalanced their loan portfolios away from firms facing Chinese import competition and towards profitable firms in non-exposed sectors. Banks supplied more credit also to the construction sector, yet independently of firms’ profitability. This is not due to banks’ exposure to the housing boom. Rather, the high geographical concentration of the manufacturing industries competing with China left local banks with fewer alternatives to local construction firms for rebalancing their loan portfolios. The portfolio rebalancing had large real effects: it depressed further the economic activity of firms competing with Chinese imports, and contributed to the construction sector boom of the early 2000s.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergio Mayordomo & Omar Rachedi, 2019. "The China syndrome affects banks: the credit supply channel of foreign import competition (Updated February 2020)," Working Papers 1908, Banco de España, revised Feb 2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:1908
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    trade shock; bank loans; banks’ portfolio reallocation; credit register; real effects;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance

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