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Global biodiversity scenarios: what do they tell us for biodiversity-related socioeconomic impacts?

Author

Listed:
  • Julien CALAS
  • Antoine GODIN
  • Julie MAURIN (AFD)
  • and Etienne ESPAGNE (World Bank)

Abstract

This paper aims to review and compare existing global and quantitative biodiversity scenarios that could help to build a forward-looking assessment of the consequences of biodiversity loss. More broadly, it provides a literature review of existing biodiversity scenarios and models as well as an assessment of the path forward for research to developing scenarios for biodiversity related socio-economic impacts at each step of the process: from building narratives, quantifying the impacts and dependencies, assessing the uncertainty range on the results all the way from the ecosystem to the economic and financial asset.This Policy Paper is also available in Mandarin

Suggested Citation

  • Julien CALAS & Antoine GODIN & Julie MAURIN (AFD) & and Etienne ESPAGNE (World Bank), 2022. "Global biodiversity scenarios: what do they tell us for biodiversity-related socioeconomic impacts?," Working Paper 1a39419b-ef1d-4b82-a7be-d, Agence française de développement.
    • Handle: RePEc:avg:wpaper:en14790
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    File URL: https://www.afd.fr/sites/afd/files/2022-12-03-29-18/PP012-Dec2022-Scenarios%20de%20biodiversite-UK-WEB.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brian O’Neill & Elmar Kriegler & Keywan Riahi & Kristie Ebi & Stephane Hallegatte & Timothy Carter & Ritu Mathur & Detlef Vuuren, 2014. "A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 122(3), pages 387-400, February.
    2. Olson, Lars J., 2006. "The Economics of Terrestrial Invasive Species: A Review of the Literature," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 35(1), pages 1-17, April.
    3. David Leclère & Michael Obersteiner & Mike Barrett & Stuart H. M. Butchart & Abhishek Chaudhary & Adriana Palma & Fabrice A. J. DeClerck & Moreno Marco & Jonathan C. Doelman & Martina Dürauer & Robin , 2020. "Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy," Nature, Nature, vol. 585(7826), pages 551-556, September.
    4. Kristie Ebi & Stephane Hallegatte & Tom Kram & Nigel Arnell & Timothy Carter & Jae Edmonds & Elmar Kriegler & Ritu Mathur & Brian O’Neill & Keywan Riahi & Harald Winkler & Detlef Vuuren & Timm Zwickel, 2014. "A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 122(3), pages 363-372, February.
    5. Detlef Vuuren & Elmar Kriegler & Brian O’Neill & Kristie Ebi & Keywan Riahi & Timothy Carter & Jae Edmonds & Stephane Hallegatte & Tom Kram & Ritu Mathur & Harald Winkler, 2014. "A new scenario framework for Climate Change Research: scenario matrix architecture," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 122(3), pages 373-386, February.
    6. Elmar Kriegler & Jae Edmonds & Stéphane Hallegatte & Kristie Ebi & Tom Kram & Keywan Riahi & Harald Winkler & Detlef Vuuren, 2014. "A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared climate policy assumptions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 122(3), pages 401-414, February.
    7. Mark C. Andersen & Heather Adams & Bruce Hope & Mark Powell, 2004. "Risk Assessment for Invasive Species," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(4), pages 787-793, August.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hadji-Lazaro, Paul & Salin, Mathilde & Svartzman, Romain & Espagne, Etienne & Gauthey, Julien & Berger, Joshua & Calas, Julien & Godin, Antoine & Vallier, Antoine, 2024. "Biodiversity loss and financial stability as a new frontier for central banks: An exploration for France," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    2. Julien CALAS & Antoine GODIN & Paul Hadji-Lazaro & Pamela SEKESE & Andrew SKOWNO, 2023. "Socioeconomic and spatially-explicit assessment of Nature-related risks: the case of South Africa," Working Paper 199e7bd0-7dfd-4a54-bc1d-9, Agence française de développement.
    3. Mathilde Salin & Katie Kedward & Nepomuk Dunz, 2024. "Assessing Integrated Assessment Models for Building Global Nature-Economy Scenarios," Working papers 959, Banque de France.

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    JEL classification:

    • Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics

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