IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2410.20128.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Optimal life insurance and annuity decision under money illusion

Author

Listed:
  • Wenyuan Li
  • Pengyu Wei

Abstract

This paper investigates the optimal consumption, investment, and life insurance/annuity decisions for a family in an inflationary economy under money illusion. The family can invest in a financial market that consists of nominal bonds, inflation-linked bonds, and a stock index. The breadwinner can also purchase life insurance or annuities that are available continuously. The family's objective is to maximize the expected utility of a mixture of nominal and real consumption, as they partially overlook inflation and tend to think in terms of nominal rather than real monetary values. We formulate this life-cycle problem as a random horizon utility maximization problem and derive the optimal strategy. We calibrate our model to the U.S. data and demonstrate that money illusion increases life insurance demand for young adults and reduces annuity demand for retirees. Our findings indicate that the money illusion contributes to the annuity puzzle and highlights the role of financial literacy in an inflationary environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Wenyuan Li & Pengyu Wei, 2024. "Optimal life insurance and annuity decision under money illusion," Papers 2410.20128, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2410.20128
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.20128
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chen, Carl R. & Lung, Peter P. & Wang, F. Albert, 2009. "Stock Market Mispricing: Money Illusion or Resale Option?," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 44(5), pages 1125-1147, October.
    2. Kwak, Minsuk & Lim, Byung Hwa, 2014. "Optimal portfolio selection with life insurance under inflation risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 59-71.
    3. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Christian Julliard, 2008. "Money Illusion and Housing Frenzies," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(1), pages 135-180, January.
    4. Pengyu Wei & Charles Yang, 2023. "Optimal investment for defined-contribution pension plans under money illusion," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 729-753, August.
    5. Fehr, Ernst & Tyran, Jean-Robert, 2007. "Money illusion and coordination failure," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 246-268, February.
    6. Svedsater, Henrik & Gamble, Amelie & Garling, Tommy, 2007. "Money illusion in intuitive financial judgments: Influences of nominal representation of share prices," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 698-712, October.
    7. Li, Xun & Yu, Xiang & Zhang, Qinyi, 2023. "Optimal consumption and life insurance under shortfall aversion and a drawdown constraint," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 25-45.
    8. Bernheim, B Douglas, 1991. "How Strong Are Bequest Motives? Evidence Based on Estimates of the Demand for Life Insurance and Annuities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(5), pages 899-927, October.
    9. Tan, Ken Seng & Wei, Pengyu & Wei, Wei & Zhuang, Sheng Chao, 2020. "Optimal dynamic reinsurance policies under a generalized Denneberg’s absolute deviation principle," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 282(1), pages 345-362.
    10. Pirvu, Traian A. & Zhang, Huayue, 2012. "Optimal investment, consumption and life insurance under mean-reverting returns: The complete market solution," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 303-309.
    11. Suleyman Basak & Hongjun Yan, 2010. "Equilibrium Asset Prices and Investor Behaviour in the Presence of Money Illusion," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 77(3), pages 914-936.
    12. Joachim Inkmann & Paula Lopes & Alexander Michaelides, 2011. "How Deep Is the Annuity Market Participation Puzzle?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(1), pages 279-319.
    13. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11473 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Ralph S. J. Koijen & Theo E. Nijman & Bas J. M. Werker, 2011. "Optimal Annuity Risk Management," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 15(4), pages 799-833.
    15. Joao F. Cocco, 2005. "Consumption and Portfolio Choice over the Life Cycle," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(2), pages 491-533.
    16. Richard, Scott F., 1975. "Optimal consumption, portfolio and life insurance rules for an uncertain lived individual in a continuous time model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 187-203, June.
    17. Huaxiong Huang & Moshe A. Milevsky & Jin Wang, 2008. "Portfolio Choice and Life Insurance: The CRRA Case," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 75(4), pages 847-872, December.
    18. Yang Shen & Jiaqin Wei, 2016. "Optimal investment-consumption-insurance with random parameters," Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2016(1), pages 37-62, January.
    19. Thomas Davidoff & Jeffrey R. Brown & Peter A. Diamond, 2005. "Annuities and Individual Welfare," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(5), pages 1573-1590, December.
    20. Ernst Fehr & Jean-Robert Tyran, 2001. "Does Money Illusion Matter?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1239-1262, December.
    21. Harvey,Andrew C., 1991. "Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521405737, September.
    22. Menahem E. Yaari, 1965. "Uncertain Lifetime, Life Insurance, and the Theory of the Consumer," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 32(2), pages 137-150.
    23. Huang, Huaxiong & Milevsky, Moshe A., 2008. "Portfolio choice and mortality-contingent claims: The general HARA case," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(11), pages 2444-2452, November.
    24. Eisenhuth, Roland, 2017. "Money Illusion And Market Survival," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 1-10, January.
    25. Xue, Xiaole & Wei, Pengyu & Weng, Chengguo, 2019. "Derivatives trading for insurers," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 40-53.
    26. Milevsky, Moshe A. & Young, Virginia R., 2007. "Annuitization and asset allocation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(9), pages 3138-3177, September.
    27. Xue Dong He & Xun Yu Zhou, 2014. "Myopic loss aversion, reference point, and money illusion," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(9), pages 1541-1554, September.
    28. Bernard, Carole & De Gennaro Aquino, Luca & Levante, Lucia, 2021. "Optimal annuity demand for general expected utility agents," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(PA), pages 70-79.
    29. Pliska, Stanley R. & Ye, Jinchun, 2007. "Optimal life insurance purchase and consumption/investment under uncertain lifetime," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1307-1319, May.
    30. Alexander David & Pietro Veronesi, 2013. "What Ties Return Volatilities to Price Valuations and Fundamentals?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 121(4), pages 682-746.
    31. Griselda Deelstra & Martino Grasselli & Pierre-François Koehl, 2003. "Optimal investment strategies in the presence of a minimum guarantee," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/7598, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    32. Miao, Jianjun & Xie, Danyang, 2013. "Economic growth under money illusion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 84-103.
    33. Wang, Tao & Chen, Zhiping, 2024. "Optimal portfolio and insurance strategy with biometric risks, habit formation and smooth ambiguity," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 195-222.
    34. Hakansson, Nils H, 1969. "Optimal Investment and Consumption Strategies under Risk, an Uncertain Lifetime, and Insurance," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 10(3), pages 443-466, October.
    35. Abraham Lioui & Andrea Tarelli, 2023. "Money Illusion and TIPS Demand," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(1), pages 171-214, February.
    36. Kwak, Minsuk & Shin, Yong Hyun & Choi, U Jin, 2011. "Optimal investment and consumption decision of a family with life insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 176-188, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pengyu Wei & Charles Yang, 2023. "Optimal investment for defined-contribution pension plans under money illusion," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 729-753, August.
    2. Wei, Jiaqin & Cheng, Xiang & Jin, Zhuo & Wang, Hao, 2020. "Optimal consumption–investment and life-insurance purchase strategy for couples with correlated lifetimes," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 244-256.
    3. Wei-Ting Pan, 2016. "The Impact of Mandatory Savings on Life Cycle Consumption and Portfolio Choice," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 32, July-Dece.
    4. Wei-Ting Pan, 2016. "The Impact of Mandatory Savings on Life Cycle Consumption and Portfolio Choice," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 2-2016, January-A.
    5. Han, Nan-Wei & Hung, Mao-Wei, 2017. "Optimal consumption, portfolio, and life insurance policies under interest rate and inflation risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 54-67.
    6. Chen, Chang-Chih & Chang, Chia-Chien & Sun, Edward W. & Yu, Min-Teh, 2022. "Optimal decision of dynamic wealth allocation with life insurance for mitigating health risk under market incompleteness," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 300(2), pages 727-742.
    7. Horneff, Wolfram J. & Maurer, Raimond H. & Mitchell, Olivia S. & Stamos, Michael Z., 2009. "Asset allocation and location over the life cycle with investment-linked survival-contingent payouts," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(9), pages 1688-1699, September.
    8. Peng, Xingchun & Li, Baihui, 2023. "Optimal investment, consumption and life insurance purchase with learning about return predictability," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 70-95.
    9. Blake, David & Wright, Douglas & Zhang, Yumeng, 2014. "Age-dependent investing: Optimal funding and investment strategies in defined contribution pension plans when members are rational life cycle financial planners," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 105-124.
    10. Horneff, Vanya & Maurer, Raimond & Mitchell, Olivia S. & Rogalla, Ralph, 2015. "Optimal life cycle portfolio choice with variable annuities offering liquidity and investment downside protection," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 91-107.
    11. Jang, Bong-Gyu & Koo, Hyeng Keun & Park, Seyoung, 2019. "Optimal consumption and investment with insurer default risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 44-56.
    12. repec:agr:journl:v:1(618):y:2019:i:1(618):p:5-22 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Kwak, Minsuk & Shin, Yong Hyun & Choi, U Jin, 2011. "Optimal investment and consumption decision of a family with life insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 176-188, March.
    14. Schendel, Lorenz S., 2014. "Consumption-investment problems with stochastic mortality risk," SAFE Working Paper Series 43, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    15. de Kort, J. & Vellekoop, M.H., 2017. "Existence of optimal consumption strategies in markets with longevity risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 107-121.
    16. Mariko SHIMIZU, 2019. "Why do high ability people also suffer from money illusion? Experimental evidence of behavioral contradiction," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(618), S), pages 5-22, Spring.
    17. Yang Wang & Jianwei Lin & Dandan Chen & Jizhou Zhang, 2023. "Optimal Investment–Consumption–Insurance Problem of a Family with Stochastic Income under the Exponential O-U Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-19, October.
    18. Horneff, Vanya & Maurer, Raimond & Mitchell, Olivia S., 2020. "Putting the pension back in 401(k) retirement plans: Optimal versus default deferred longevity income annuities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    19. Horneff, Wolfram J. & Maurer, Raimond H. & Stamos, Michael Z., 2008. "Life-cycle asset allocation with annuity markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(11), pages 3590-3612, November.
    20. Hazel Bateman & Christine Eckert & Fedor Iskhakov & Jordan Louviere & Stephen Satchell & Susan Thorp, 2017. "Default and naive diversification heuristics in annuity choice," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 42(1), pages 32-57, February.
    21. Francisco Gomes & Michael Haliassos & Tarun Ramadorai, 2021. "Household Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 59(3), pages 919-1000, September.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2410.20128. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.