IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2402.06689.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

A Study on Stock Forecasting Using Deep Learning and Statistical Models

Author

Listed:
  • Himanshu Gupta
  • Aditya Jaiswal

Abstract

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep learning and statistical analysis techniques are used here to get the accurate result so the investors can see the future trend and maximize the return of investment in stock trading. This paper will review many deep learning algorithms for stock price forecasting. We use a record of s&p 500 index data for training and testing. The survey motive is to check various deep learning and statistical model techniques for stock price forecasting that are Moving Averages, ARIMA which are statistical techniques and LSTM, RNN, CNN, and FULL CNN which are deep learning models. It will discuss various models, including the Auto regression integration moving average model, the Recurrent neural network model, the long short-term model which is the type of RNN used for long dependency for data, the convolutional neural network model, and the full convolutional neural network model, in terms of error calculation or percentage of accuracy that how much it is accurate which measures by the function like Root mean square error, mean absolute error, mean squared error. The model can be used to predict the stock price by checking the low MAE value as lower the MAE value the difference between the predicting and the actual value will be less and this model will predict the price more accurately than other models.

Suggested Citation

  • Himanshu Gupta & Aditya Jaiswal, 2024. "A Study on Stock Forecasting Using Deep Learning and Statistical Models," Papers 2402.06689, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2402.06689
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2402.06689
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sima Siami-Namini & Akbar Siami Namin, 2018. "Forecasting Economics and Financial Time Series: ARIMA vs. LSTM," Papers 1803.06386, arXiv.org.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Masum, Mohammad & Masud, M.A. & Adnan, Muhaiminul Islam & Shahriar, Hossain & Kim, Sangil, 2022. "Comparative study of a mathematical epidemic model, statistical modeling, and deep learning for COVID-19 forecasting and management," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    2. Sima Siami‐Namini & Darren Hudson & Adao Alexandre Trindade & Conrad Lyford, 2019. "Commodity price volatility and U.S. monetary policy: Commodity price overshooting revisited," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(2), pages 200-218, April.
    3. Aniruddha Dutta & Saket Kumar & Meheli Basu, 2020. "A Gated Recurrent Unit Approach to Bitcoin Price Prediction," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-16, February.
    4. Sima Siami-Namini & Daniel Muhammad & Fahad Fahimullah, 2018. "The Short and Long Run Effects of Selected Variables on Tax Revenue - A Case Study," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(5), pages 23-32, September.
    5. Jireh Yi-Le Chan & Steven Mun Hong Leow & Khean Thye Bea & Wai Khuen Cheng & Seuk Wai Phoong & Zeng-Wei Hong & Jim-Min Lin & Yen-Lin Chen, 2022. "A Correlation-Embedded Attention Module to Mitigate Multicollinearity: An Algorithmic Trading Application," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-13, April.
    6. Wang, Yijun & Andreeva, Galina & Martin-Barragan, Belen, 2023. "Machine learning approaches to forecasting cryptocurrency volatility: Considering internal and external determinants," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    7. de Lucio, Juan, 2021. "Estimación adelantada del crecimiento regional mediante redes neuronales LSTM," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 49, pages 45-64.
    8. Anjara Lalaina Jocelyn Rakotoarisoa, 2024. "Modélisations Univariées de l’Inflation Mensuelle à Madagascar : l’Atout du Modèle LSTM, un Réseau de Neurones Récurrents," Post-Print hal-04766563, HAL.
    9. Sadefo Kamdem, Jules & Bandolo Essomba, Rose & Njong Berinyuy, James, 2020. "Deep learning models for forecasting and analyzing the implications of COVID-19 spread on some commodities markets volatilities," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    10. Xiangzhou Chen & Zhi Long, 2023. "E-Commerce Enterprises Financial Risk Prediction Based on FA-PSO-LSTM Neural Network Deep Learning Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-17, March.
    11. Guoteng Xu & Shuai Peng & Chengjiang Li & Xia Chen, 2023. "Synergistic Evolution of China’s Green Economy and Digital Economy Based on LSTM-GM and Grey Absolute Correlation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-29, September.
    12. Pushpendu Ghosh & Ariel Neufeld & Jajati Keshari Sahoo, 2020. "Forecasting directional movements of stock prices for intraday trading using LSTM and random forests," Papers 2004.10178, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2021.
    13. Mourad Mroua & Ahlem Lamine, 2023. "Financial time series prediction under Covid-19 pandemic crisis with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, December.
    14. Won Joong Kim & Gunho Jung & Sun-Yong Choi, 2020. "Forecasting CDS Term Structure Based on Nelson–Siegel Model and Machine Learning," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-23, July.
    15. Min Hu & Zhizhong Tan & Bin Liu & Guosheng Yin, 2023. "Futures Quantitative Investment with Heterogeneous Continual Graph Neural Network," Papers 2303.16532, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    16. Samer Chaaraoui & Matthias Bebber & Stefanie Meilinger & Silvan Rummeny & Thorsten Schneiders & Windmanagda Sawadogo & Harald Kunstmann, 2021. "Day-Ahead Electric Load Forecast for a Ghanaian Health Facility Using Different Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-22, January.
    17. Mario Zupan, 2024. "Accounting journal entries as a long‐term multivariate time series: Forecasting wholesale warehouse output," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), March.
    18. Omer Berat Sezer & Mehmet Ugur Gudelek & Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu, 2019. "Financial Time Series Forecasting with Deep Learning : A Systematic Literature Review: 2005-2019," Papers 1911.13288, arXiv.org.
    19. Jonas Hanetho, 2023. "Deep Policy Gradient Methods in Commodity Markets," Papers 2308.01910, arXiv.org.
    20. Gun Il Kim & Beakcheol Jang, 2023. "Petroleum Price Prediction with CNN-LSTM and CNN-GRU Using Skip-Connection," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-16, January.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2402.06689. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.