IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2401.10722.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Stylized Facts and Market Microstructure: An In-Depth Exploration of German Bond Futures Market

Author

Listed:
  • Hamza Bodor
  • Laurent Carlier

Abstract

This paper presents an in-depth analysis of stylized facts in the context of futures on German bonds. The study examines four futures contracts on German bonds: Schatz, Bobl, Bund and Buxl, using tick-by-tick limit order book datasets. It uncovers a range of stylized facts and empirical observations, including the distribution of order sizes, patterns of order flow, and inter-arrival times of orders. The findings reveal both commonalities and unique characteristics across the different futures, thereby enriching our understanding of these markets. Furthermore, the paper introduces insightful realism metrics that can be used to benchmark market simulators. The study contributes to the literature on financial stylized facts by extending empirical observations to this class of assets, which has been relatively underexplored in existing research. This work provides valuable guidance for the development of more accurate and realistic market simulators.

Suggested Citation

  • Hamza Bodor & Laurent Carlier, 2024. "Stylized Facts and Market Microstructure: An In-Depth Exploration of German Bond Futures Market," Papers 2401.10722, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2401.10722
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2401.10722
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ballocchi, Giuseppe & Dacorogna, Michel M. & Hopman, Carl M. & Muller, Ulrich A. & Olsen, Richard B., 1999. "The intraday multivariate structure of the Eurofutures markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(5), pages 479-513, December.
    2. Dion Harmon & Marcus A. M. de Aguiar & David D. Chinellato & Dan Braha & Irving R. Epstein & Yaneer Bar-Yam, 2011. "Predicting economic market crises using measures of collective panic," Papers 1102.2620, arXiv.org.
    3. Biais, Bruno & Hillion, Pierre & Spatt, Chester, 1995. "An Empirical Analysis of the Limit Order Book and the Order Flow in the Paris Bourse," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(5), pages 1655-1689, December.
    4. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Marc Mezard & Marc Potters, 2002. "Statistical properties of stock order books: empirical results and models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(4), pages 251-256.
    5. Anirban Chakraborti & Ioane Muni Toke & Marco Patriarca & Frederic Abergel, 2011. "Econophysics review: I. Empirical facts," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(7), pages 991-1012.
    6. R. Cont, 2001. "Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 223-236.
    7. Thibault Jaisson & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2013. "Limit theorems for nearly unstable Hawkes processes," Papers 1310.2033, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2015.
    8. Olivier Brandouy & Angelo Corelli & Iryna Veryzhenko & Roger Waldeck, 2012. "A re-examination of the "zero is enough" hypothesis in the emergence of financial stylized facts," Post-Print hal-00951003, HAL.
    9. Olivier Brandouy & Angelo Corelli & Iryna Veryzhenko & Roger Waldeck, 2012. "A re-examination of the “zero is enough” hypothesis in the emergence of financial stylized facts," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 7(2), pages 223-248, October.
    10. Robin K. Chou & Yun‐Yi Wang, 2009. "Strategic order splitting, order choice, and aggressiveness: Evidence from the Taiwan futures exchange," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(12), pages 1102-1129, December.
    11. Engle, Robert F. & Russell, Jeffrey R., 1997. "Forecasting the frequency of changes in quoted foreign exchange prices with the autoregressive conditional duration model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(2-3), pages 187-212, June.
    12. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Marc Mezard & Marc Potters, 2002. "Statistical properties of stock order books: empirical results and models," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 0203511, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.
    13. LeBaron, Blake, 2006. "Agent-based Computational Finance," Handbook of Computational Economics, in: Leigh Tesfatsion & Kenneth L. Judd (ed.), Handbook of Computational Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 24, pages 1187-1233, Elsevier.
    14. Ioane Muni Toke, 2016. "Reconstruction of Order Flows using Aggregated Data," Papers 1604.02759, arXiv.org.
    15. Monira Aloud & Maria Fasli & Edward Tsang & Alexandre Dupuis & Richard Olsen, 2013. "Stylized Facts of the FX Market Transactions Data: An Empirical Study," Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 2(4), pages 1-9.
    16. Olivier Brandouy & Angelo Corelli & Iryna Veryzhenko & Roger Waldeck, 2012. "A re-examination of the "zero is enough" hypothesis in the emergence of financial stylized facts," Post-Print hal-00951015, HAL.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Arifovic, Jasmina & He, Xue-zhong & Wei, Lijian, 2022. "Machine learning and speed in high-frequency trading," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    2. Lallouache, Mehdi & Abergel, Frédéric, 2014. "Tick size reduction and price clustering in a FX order book," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 488-498.
    3. Svitlana Vyetrenko & David Byrd & Nick Petosa & Mahmoud Mahfouz & Danial Dervovic & Manuela Veloso & Tucker Hybinette Balch, 2019. "Get Real: Realism Metrics for Robust Limit Order Book Market Simulations," Papers 1912.04941, arXiv.org.
    4. Anirban Chakraborti & Ioane Muni Toke & Marco Patriarca & Frederic Abergel, 2011. "Econophysics review: I. Empirical facts," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(7), pages 991-1012.
    5. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Julius Ruseckas, 2018. "Order book model with herd behavior exhibiting long-range memory," Papers 1809.02772, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2019.
    6. Kononovicius, Aleksejus & Ruseckas, Julius, 2019. "Order book model with herd behavior exhibiting long-range memory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 171-191.
    7. Anirban Chakraborti & Ioane Muni Toke & Marco Patriarca & Frederic Abergel, 2011. "Econophysics review: II. Agent-based models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(7), pages 1013-1041.
    8. Anirban Chakraborti & Ioane Muni Toke & Marco Patriarca & Frédéric Abergel, 2011. "Econophysics review: I. Empirical facts," Post-Print hal-00621058, HAL.
    9. Sandrine Jacob Leal & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Giorgio Fagiolo, 2016. "Rock around the clock: An agent-based model of low- and high-frequency trading," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 49-76, March.
    10. Zijian Shi & John Cartlidge, 2024. "Neural stochastic agent‐based limit order book simulation with neural point process and diffusion probabilistic model," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(2), June.
    11. A. O. Glekin & A. Lykov & K. L. Vaninsky, 2014. "On Simulation of Various Effects in Consolidated Order Book," Papers 1402.4150, arXiv.org.
    12. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/f6h8764enu2lskk9p4oq9ig8k is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Martin D. Gould & Mason A. Porter & Stacy Williams & Mark McDonald & Daniel J. Fenn & Sam D. Howison, 2010. "Limit Order Books," Papers 1012.0349, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.
    14. Ioane Muni Toke, 2014. "Exact and asymptotic solutions of the call auction problem," Working Papers hal-01061857, HAL.
    15. Ivan Jericevich & Patrick Chang & Tim Gebbie, 2021. "Simulation and estimation of an agent-based market-model with a matching engine," Papers 2108.07806, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    16. Ioane Muni Toke, 2015. "Exact and asymptotic solutions of the call auction problem," Post-Print hal-01061857, HAL.
    17. Ioane Muni Toke, 2014. "Exact and asymptotic solutions of the call auction problem," Papers 1407.4512, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2014.
    18. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/f6h8764enu2lskk9p4oq9ig8k is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Derksen, M. & Kleijn, B. & de Vilder, R., 2022. "Heavy tailed distributions in closing auctions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 593(C).
    20. Marc Potters & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2002. "More statistical properties of order books and price impact," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 0210710, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.
    21. Matthias Schnaubelt & Jonas Rende & Christopher Krauss, 2019. "Testing Stylized Facts of Bitcoin Limit Order Books," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-30, February.
    22. Ioane Muni Toke & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2020. "Analyzing order flows in limit order books with ratios of Cox-type intensities," Post-Print hal-01799398, HAL.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2401.10722. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.