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Reconstruction of Order Flows using Aggregated Data

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  • Ioane Muni Toke

Abstract

In this work we investigate tick-by-tick data provided by the TRTH database for several stocks on three different exchanges (Paris - Euronext, London and Frankfurt - Deutsche B\"orse) and on a 5-year span. We use a simple algorithm that helps the synchronization of the trades and quotes data sources, providing enhancements to the basic procedure that, depending on the time period and the exchange, are shown to be significant. We show that the analysis of the performance of this algorithm turns out to be a a forensic tool assessing the quality of the aggregated database: we are able to track through the data some significant technical changes that occurred on the studied exchanges. We also illustrate the fact that the choices made when reconstructing order flows have consequences on the quantitative models that are calibrated afterwards on such data. Our study also provides elements on the trade signature, and we are able to give a more refined look at the standard Lee-Ready procedure, giving new elements on the way optimal lags should be chosen when using this method. The findings are in line with both financial reasoning and the analysis of an illustrative Poisson model of the order flow.

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  • Ioane Muni Toke, 2016. "Reconstruction of Order Flows using Aggregated Data," Papers 1604.02759, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1604.02759
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    1. Mehdi Lallouache & Damien Challet, 2016. "The limits of statistical significance of Hawkes processes fitted to financial data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 1-11, January.
    2. I. Muni Toke, 2015. "The order book as a queueing system: average depth and influence of the size of limit orders," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(5), pages 795-808, May.
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    6. Vladimir Filimonov & Didier Sornette, 2012. "Quantifying reflexivity in financial markets: towards a prediction of flash crashes," Papers 1201.3572, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2012.
    7. Toke, Ioane Muni & Pomponio, Fabrizio, 2012. "Modelling trades-through in a limit order book using hawkes processes," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 6, pages 1-23.
    8. Large, Jeremy, 2007. "Measuring the resiliency of an electronic limit order book," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, February.
    9. Weibing Huang & Charles-Albert Lehalle & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2015. "Simulating and Analyzing Order Book Data: The Queue-Reactive Model," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 110(509), pages 107-122, March.
    10. Stephen Hardiman & Nicolas Bercot & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2013. "Critical reflexivity in financial markets: a Hawkes process analysis," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 86(10), pages 1-9, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ioane Muni Toke & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2019. "Analyzing order flows in limit order books with ratios of Cox-type intensities," Working Papers hal-01799398, HAL.
    2. Ioane Muni Toke, 2017. "Stationary Distribution Of The Volume At The Best Quote In A Poisson Order Book Model," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(06), pages 1-22, September.
    3. Clinet, Simon & Potiron, Yoann, 2019. "Testing if the market microstructure noise is fully explained by the informational content of some variables from the limit order book," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 209(2), pages 289-337.
    4. Rannou, Yves, 2019. "Limit order books, uninformed traders and commodity derivatives: Insights from the European carbon futures," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 387-410.
    5. Ioane Muni Toke & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2020. "Marked point processes and intensity ratios for limit order book modeling," Papers 2001.08442, arXiv.org.
    6. Ioane Muni Toke & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2022. "Marked point processes and intensity ratios for limit order book modeling," Post-Print hal-02465428, HAL.
    7. Ioane Muni Toke & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2018. "Analyzing order flows in limit order books with ratios of Cox-type intensities," Papers 1805.06682, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2019.
    8. Ioane Muni Toke & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2020. "Analyzing order flows in limit order books with ratios of Cox-type intensities," Post-Print hal-01799398, HAL.
    9. Hamza Bodor & Laurent Carlier, 2024. "Stylized Facts and Market Microstructure: An In-Depth Exploration of German Bond Futures Market," Papers 2401.10722, arXiv.org.

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