IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2311.04946.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Causal Inference on Investment Constraints and Non-stationarity in Dynamic Portfolio Optimization through Reinforcement Learning

Author

Listed:
  • Yasuhiro Nakayama
  • Tomochika Sawaki

Abstract

In this study, we have developed a dynamic asset allocation investment strategy using reinforcement learning techniques. To begin with, we have addressed the crucial issue of incorporating non-stationarity of financial time series data into reinforcement learning algorithms, which is a significant implementation in the application of reinforcement learning in investment strategies. Our findings highlight the significance of introducing certain variables such as regime change in the environment setting to enhance the prediction accuracy. Furthermore, the application of reinforcement learning in investment strategies provides a remarkable advantage of setting the optimization problem flexibly. This enables the integration of practical constraints faced by investors into the algorithm, resulting in efficient optimization. Our study has categorized the investment strategy formulation conditions into three main categories, including performance measurement indicators, portfolio management rules, and other constraints. We have evaluated the impact of incorporating these conditions into the environment and rewards in a reinforcement learning framework and examined how they influence investment behavior.

Suggested Citation

  • Yasuhiro Nakayama & Tomochika Sawaki, 2023. "Causal Inference on Investment Constraints and Non-stationarity in Dynamic Portfolio Optimization through Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2311.04946, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2311.04946
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2311.04946
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhengyao Jiang & Dixing Xu & Jinjun Liang, 2017. "A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for the Financial Portfolio Management Problem," Papers 1706.10059, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2017.
    2. Zhipeng Liang & Hao Chen & Junhao Zhu & Kangkang Jiang & Yanran Li, 2018. "Adversarial Deep Reinforcement Learning in Portfolio Management," Papers 1808.09940, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2018.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Amir Mosavi & Pedram Ghamisi & Yaser Faghan & Puhong Duan, 2020. "Comprehensive Review of Deep Reinforcement Learning Methods and Applications in Economics," Papers 2004.01509, arXiv.org.
    2. Mei-Li Shen & Cheng-Feng Lee & Hsiou-Hsiang Liu & Po-Yin Chang & Cheng-Hong Yang, 2021. "An Effective Hybrid Approach for Forecasting Currency Exchange Rates," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-29, March.
    3. Mengying Zhu & Xiaolin Zheng & Yan Wang & Yuyuan Li & Qianqiao Liang, 2019. "Adaptive Portfolio by Solving Multi-armed Bandit via Thompson Sampling," Papers 1911.05309, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.
    4. Amirhosein Mosavi & Yaser Faghan & Pedram Ghamisi & Puhong Duan & Sina Faizollahzadeh Ardabili & Ely Salwana & Shahab S. Band, 2020. "Comprehensive Review of Deep Reinforcement Learning Methods and Applications in Economics," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(10), pages 1-42, September.
    5. Ben Hambly & Renyuan Xu & Huining Yang, 2021. "Recent Advances in Reinforcement Learning in Finance," Papers 2112.04553, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    6. Shuo Sun & Rundong Wang & Bo An, 2021. "Reinforcement Learning for Quantitative Trading," Papers 2109.13851, arXiv.org.
    7. Yunan Ye & Hengzhi Pei & Boxin Wang & Pin-Yu Chen & Yada Zhu & Jun Xiao & Bo Li, 2020. "Reinforcement-Learning based Portfolio Management with Augmented Asset Movement Prediction States," Papers 2002.05780, arXiv.org.
    8. Xiangyu Cui & Xun Li & Yun Shi & Si Zhao, 2023. "Discrete-Time Mean-Variance Strategy Based on Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2312.15385, arXiv.org.
    9. Huanming Zhang & Zhengyong Jiang & Jionglong Su, 2021. "A Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient-based Strategy for Stocks Portfolio Management," Papers 2103.11455, arXiv.org.
    10. Kinyua, Johnson D. & Mutigwe, Charles & Cushing, Daniel J. & Poggi, Michael, 2021. "An analysis of the impact of President Trump’s tweets on the DJIA and S&P 500 using machine learning and sentiment analysis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    11. Yinheng Li & Junhao Wang & Yijie Cao, 2019. "A General Framework on Enhancing Portfolio Management with Reinforcement Learning," Papers 1911.11880, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    12. Zhaolu Dong & Shan Huang & Simiao Ma & Yining Qian, 2021. "Factor Representation and Decision Making in Stock Markets Using Deep Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2108.01758, arXiv.org.
    13. Zhenhan Huang & Fumihide Tanaka, 2021. "MSPM: A Modularized and Scalable Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning-based System for Financial Portfolio Management," Papers 2102.03502, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
    14. Saeed Marzban & Erick Delage & Jonathan Yumeng Li & Jeremie Desgagne-Bouchard & Carl Dussault, 2021. "WaveCorr: Correlation-savvy Deep Reinforcement Learning for Portfolio Management," Papers 2109.07005, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.
    15. Ben Hambly & Renyuan Xu & Huining Yang, 2023. "Recent advances in reinforcement learning in finance," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(3), pages 437-503, July.
    16. MohammadAmin Fazli & Mahdi Lashkari & Hamed Taherkhani & Jafar Habibi, 2022. "A Novel Experts Advice Aggregation Framework Using Deep Reinforcement Learning for Portfolio Management," Papers 2212.14477, arXiv.org.
    17. Eric Benhamou & David Saltiel & Sandrine Ungari & Abhishek Mukhopadhyay, 2020. "Time your hedge with Deep Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2009.14136, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
    18. Ricard Durall, 2022. "Asset Allocation: From Markowitz to Deep Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2208.07158, arXiv.org.
    19. Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu & Mehmet Ugur Gudelek & Omer Berat Sezer, 2020. "Deep Learning for Financial Applications : A Survey," Papers 2002.05786, arXiv.org.
    20. Gang Huang & Xiaohua Zhou & Qingyang Song, 2020. "Deep reinforcement learning for portfolio management," Papers 2012.13773, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2022.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2311.04946. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.