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Survey calibration for causal inference: a simple method to balance covariate distributions

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  • Maciej Berk{e}sewicz

Abstract

This paper proposes a~simple, yet powerful, method for balancing distributions of covariates for causal inference based on observational studies. The method makes it possible to balance an arbitrary number of quantiles (e.g., medians, quartiles, or deciles) together with means if necessary. The proposed approach is based on the theory of calibration estimators (Deville and S\"arndal 1992), in particular, calibration estimators for quantiles, proposed by Harms and Duchesne (2006). The method does not require numerical integration, kernel density estimation or assumptions about the distributions. Valid estimates can be obtained by drawing on existing asymptotic theory. An~illustrative example of the proposed approach is presented for the entropy balancing method and the covariate balancing propensity score method. Results of a~simulation study indicate that the method efficiently estimates average treatment effects on the treated (ATT), the average treatment effect (ATE), the quantile treatment effect on the treated (QTT) and the quantile treatment effect (QTE), especially in the presence of non-linearity and mis-specification of the models. The proposed approach can be further generalized to other designs (e.g. multi-category, continuous) or methods (e.g. synthetic control method). An open source software implementing proposed methods is available.

Suggested Citation

  • Maciej Berk{e}sewicz, 2023. "Survey calibration for causal inference: a simple method to balance covariate distributions," Papers 2310.11969, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2310.11969
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sergio Firpo, 2007. "Efficient Semiparametric Estimation of Quantile Treatment Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(1), pages 259-276, January.
    2. Hainmueller, Jens, 2012. "Entropy Balancing for Causal Effects: A Multivariate Reweighting Method to Produce Balanced Samples in Observational Studies," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(1), pages 25-46, January.
    3. Yi‐Ting Chen, 2020. "A distributional synthetic control method for policy evaluation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(5), pages 505-525, August.
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    5. F. F. Gunsilius, 2023. "Distributional Synthetic Controls," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(3), pages 1105-1117, May.
    6. Kosuke Imai & Marc Ratkovic, 2014. "Covariate balancing propensity score," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 76(1), pages 243-263, January.
    7. Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna & Xiaojun Song & Qi Xu, 2022. "Covariate distribution balance via propensity scores," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1093-1120, September.
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