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Closed-form approximations of moments and densities of continuous-time Markov models

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  • Dennis Kristensen
  • Young Jun Lee
  • Antonio Mele

Abstract

This paper develops power series expansions of a general class of moment functions, including transition densities and option prices, of continuous-time Markov processes, including jump--diffusions. The proposed expansions extend the ones in Kristensen and Mele (2011) to cover general Markov processes. We demonstrate that the class of expansions nests the transition density and option price expansions developed in Yang, Chen, and Wan (2019) and Wan and Yang (2021) as special cases, thereby connecting seemingly different ideas in a unified framework. We show how the general expansion can be implemented for fully general jump--diffusion models. We provide a new theory for the validity of the expansions which shows that series expansions are not guaranteed to converge as more terms are added in general. Thus, these methods should be used with caution. At the same time, the numerical studies in this paper demonstrate good performance of the proposed implementation in practice when a small number of terms are included.

Suggested Citation

  • Dennis Kristensen & Young Jun Lee & Antonio Mele, 2023. "Closed-form approximations of moments and densities of continuous-time Markov models," Papers 2308.09009, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2308.09009
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2308.09009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kristensen, Dennis & Mele, Antonio, 2011. "Adding and subtracting Black-Scholes: A new approach to approximating derivative prices in continuous-time models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(2), pages 390-415.
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    5. Wan, Xiangwei & Yang, Nian, 2021. "Hermite expansion of transition densities and European option prices for multivariate diffusions with jumps," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
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    15. Yang, Nian & Chen, Nan & Wan, Xiangwei, 2019. "A new delta expansion for multivariate diffusions via the Itô-Taylor expansion," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 209(2), pages 256-288.
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