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Over-the-Counter Market Making via Reinforcement Learning

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  • Zhou Fang
  • Haiqing Xu

Abstract

The over-the-counter (OTC) market is characterized by a unique feature that allows market makers to adjust bid-ask spreads based on order size. However, this flexibility introduces complexity, transforming the market-making problem into a high-dimensional stochastic control problem that presents significant challenges. To address this, this paper proposes an innovative solution utilizing reinforcement learning techniques to tackle the OTC market-making problem. By assuming a linear inverse relationship between market order arrival intensity and bid-ask spreads, we demonstrate the optimal policy for bid-ask spreads follows a Gaussian distribution. We apply two reinforcement learning algorithms to conduct a numerical analysis, revealing the resulting return distribution and bid-ask spreads under different time and inventory levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhou Fang & Haiqing Xu, 2023. "Over-the-Counter Market Making via Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2307.01816, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2307.01816
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    References listed on IDEAS

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