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Improving CNN-base Stock Trading By Considering Data Heterogeneity and Burst

Author

Listed:
  • Keer Yang
  • Guanqun Zhang
  • Chuan Bi
  • Qiang Guan
  • Hailu Xu
  • Shuai Xu

Abstract

In recent years, there have been quite a few attempts to apply intelligent techniques to financial trading, i.e., constructing automatic and intelligent trading framework based on historical stock price. Due to the unpredictable, uncertainty and volatile nature of financial market, researchers have also resorted to deep learning to construct the intelligent trading framework. In this paper, we propose to use CNN as the core functionality of such framework, because it is able to learn the spatial dependency (i.e., between rows and columns) of the input data. However, different with existing deep learning-based trading frameworks, we develop novel normalization process to prepare the stock data. In particular, we first empirically observe that the stock data is intrinsically heterogeneous and bursty, and then validate the heterogeneity and burst nature of stock data from a statistical perspective. Next, we design the data normalization method in a way such that the data heterogeneity is preserved and bursty events are suppressed. We verify out developed CNN-based trading framework plus our new normalization method on 29 stocks. Experiment results show that our approach can outperform other comparing approaches.

Suggested Citation

  • Keer Yang & Guanqun Zhang & Chuan Bi & Qiang Guan & Hailu Xu & Shuai Xu, 2023. "Improving CNN-base Stock Trading By Considering Data Heterogeneity and Burst," Papers 2303.09407, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2303.09407
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Krauss, Christopher & Do, Xuan Anh & Huck, Nicolas, 2017. "Deep neural networks, gradient-boosted trees, random forests: Statistical arbitrage on the S&P 500," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 259(2), pages 689-702.
    2. Christopher Krauss & Anh Do & Nicolas Huck, 2017. "Deep neural networks, gradient-boosted trees, random forests: Statistical arbitrage on the S&P 500," Post-Print hal-01768895, HAL.
    3. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    4. Huan-Kai Peng & Radu Marculescu, 2015. "Multi-Scale Compositionality: Identifying the Compositional Structures of Social Dynamics Using Deep Learning," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(4), pages 1-28, April.
    5. Fischer, Thomas & Krauss, Christopher, 2018. "Deep learning with long short-term memory networks for financial market predictions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 270(2), pages 654-669.
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