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Capital Market Performance and Macroeconomic Dynamics in Nigeria

Author

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  • Oladapo Fapetu
  • Segun Michael Ojo
  • Adekunle Alexander Balogun
  • Adeoba Adepoju Asaolu

Abstract

The study examined the relationship between capital market performance and the macroeconomic dynamics in Nigeria, and it utilized secondary data spanning 1993 to 2020. The data was analyzed using vector error correction model (VECM) technology. The result revealed a significant long run relationship between capital market performance and macroeconomic dynamics in Nigeria. We observed long run causality running from the exchange rate, inflation, money supply, and unemployment rate to capital market performance indicator in Nigeria. The result supports the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) proposition in the Nigerian context. The theory stipulates that the linear relationship between an asset expected returns and the macroeconomic factors whose dynamics affect the asset risk can forecast an asset's returns. In other words, the result of this study supports the proposition that the dynamics in the exchange rate, inflation, money supply, and unemployment rate influence the capital market performance. The study validates the recommendations of Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) in Nigeria.

Suggested Citation

  • Oladapo Fapetu & Segun Michael Ojo & Adekunle Alexander Balogun & Adeoba Adepoju Asaolu, 2022. "Capital Market Performance and Macroeconomic Dynamics in Nigeria," Papers 2207.00773, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2207.00773
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Udo Ginikachi Cynthia & Nwezeaku Nathaniel Chinedum & Kanu Success Ikechi, 2021. "Effects of Capital Market Development on the Economic Growth of Nigeria," International Journal of Innovation and Economic Development, Inovatus Services Ltd., vol. 7(2), pages 30-46, June.
    3. Acha, Ikechukwu A & Akpan, Sunny Okon, 2019. "Capital Market Performance And Economic Growth In Nigeria," Noble International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Noble Academic Publsiher, vol. 4(2), pages 10-18, February.
    4. Sebastian Ankargren & Mårten Bjellerup & Hovick Shahnazarian, 2017. "The importance of the financial system for the real economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 1553-1586, December.
    5. ALAM, Md. Shabbir & HUSSEIN, Muawya Ahmed, 2019. "The Impact Of Capital Market On The Economic Growth In Oman," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 23(2), pages 116-129, June.
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