IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2201.08875.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Information-Based Trading

Author

Listed:
  • George Bouzianis
  • Lane P. Hughston
  • Leandro S'anchez-Betancourt

Abstract

We consider a pair of traders in a market where the information available to the second trader is a strict subset of the information available to the first trader. The traders make prices based on the information available concerning a security that pays a random cash flow at a fixed time $T$ in the future. Market information is modelled in line with the scheme of Brody, Hughston & Macrina (2007, 2008) and Brody, Davis, Friedman & Hughston (2009). The risk-neutral distribution of the cash flow is known to the traders, who make prices with a fixed multiplicative bid-offer spread and report their prices to a game master who declares that a trade has been made when the bid price of one of the traders crosses the offer price of the other. We prove that the value of the first trader's position is strictly greater than that of the second. The results are analyzed by use of simulation studies and generalized to situations where (a) there is a hierarchy of traders, (b) there are multiple successive trades, and (c) there is inventory aversion.

Suggested Citation

  • George Bouzianis & Lane P. Hughston & Leandro S'anchez-Betancourt, 2022. "Information-Based Trading," Papers 2201.08875, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2201.08875
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2201.08875
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Damir Filipović & Lane P. Hughston & Andrea Macrina, 2012. "Conditional Density Models For Asset Pricing," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(01), pages 1-24.
    2. Marek Rutkowski & Nannan Yu, 2007. "An Extension Of The Brody–Hughston–Macrina Approach To Modeling Of Defaultable Bonds," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(03), pages 557-589.
    3. Edward Hoyle, 2010. "Information-based models for finance and insurance," Papers 1010.0829, arXiv.org.
    4. Dothan, Michael U., 1990. "Prices in Financial Markets," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195053128.
    5. Lane P. Hughston & Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt, 2020. "Pricing with Variance Gamma Information," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-22, October.
    6. Dorje C. Brody & Lane P. Hughston & Ewan Mackie, 2011. "General Theory of Geometric L\'evy Models for Dynamic Asset Pricing," Papers 1111.2169, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2012.
    7. Lane P. Hughston & Leandro S'anchez-Betancourt, 2020. "Pricing with Variance Gamma Information," Papers 2003.07967, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
    8. Damir Filipović & Lane P. Hughston & Andrea Macrina, 2012. "Conditional Density Models For Asset Pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Matheus R Grasselli & Lane P Hughston (ed.), Finance at Fields, chapter 9, pages 225-248, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    9. Dorje C. Brody & Lane P. Hughston & Andrea Macrina, 2022. "Information-Based Asset Pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Dorje Brody & Lane Hughston & Andrea Macrina (ed.), Financial Informatics An Information-Based Approach to Asset Pricing, chapter 2, pages 29-64, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    10. Dorje C. Brody & Lane P. Hughston & Andrea Macrina, 2008. "Information-Based Asset Pricing," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(01), pages 107-142.
    11. Lane P. Hughston & Andrea Macrina, 2012. "Pricing Fixed-Income Securities in an Information-Based Framework," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 361-379, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lane P. Hughston & Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt, 2020. "Pricing with Variance Gamma Information," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-22, October.
    2. Lane P. Hughston & Leandro S'anchez-Betancourt, 2020. "Pricing with Variance Gamma Information," Papers 2003.07967, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
    3. Tim Leung & Jiao Li & Xin Li, 2018. "Optimal Timing to Trade along a Randomized Brownian Bridge," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-23, August.
    4. Xixuan Han & Boyu Wei & Hailiang Yang, 2018. "Index Options And Volatility Derivatives In A Gaussian Random Field Risk-Neutral Density Model," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(04), pages 1-41, June.
    5. Rene Carmona & Yi Ma & Sergey Nadtochiy, 2015. "Simulation of Implied Volatility Surfaces via Tangent Levy Models," Papers 1504.00334, arXiv.org.
    6. Thomas Mazzoni, 2018. "Asymptotic Expansion of Risk-Neutral Pricing Density," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-26, March.
    7. Andrea Macrina & Priyanka A. Parbhoo, 2011. "Randomised Mixture Models for Pricing Kernels," Papers 1112.2059, arXiv.org.
    8. Kazi Wahadul Hasan & Maliha Binte Hanif, 2022. "A pricing model for real-estate business in Bangladesh incorporating the uncertainty in buyer’s readiness: considerations during COVID-19 pandemic," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(10), pages 1-16, October.
    9. Mengütürk, Levent Ali, 2018. "Gaussian random bridges and a geometric model for information equilibrium," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 494(C), pages 465-483.
    10. Henrik Hult & Filip Lindskog & Johan Nykvist, 2013. "A simple time-consistent model for the forward density process," Papers 1301.4869, arXiv.org.
    11. Bottazzi, Jean-Marc & Hens, Thorsten & Loffler, Andreas, 1998. "Market Demand Functions in the Capital Asset Pricing Model," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 192-206, April.
    12. Kleinow, Torsten & Willder, Mark, 2007. "The effect of management discretion on hedging and fair valuation of participating policies with maturity guarantees," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 445-458, May.
    13. Boyle, Phelim P. & Yang, Hailiang, 1997. "Asset allocation with time variation in expected returns," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 201-218, December.
    14. Lane P. Hughston & Leandro S'anchez-Betancourt, 2023. "Valuation of a Financial Claim Contingent on the Outcome of a Quantum Measurement," Papers 2305.10239, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    15. Carey, Alexander, 2008. "Natural volatility and option pricing," MPRA Paper 6709, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Fegatelli, Paolo, 2010. "The misconception of the option value of deposit insurance and the efficacy of non-risk-based capital requirements in the literature on bank capital regulation," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 79-84, June.
    17. Stefanescu, Razvan & Dumitriu, Ramona, 2015. "Conţinutul analizei seriilor de timp financiare [The Essentials of the Analysis of Financial Time Series]," MPRA Paper 67175, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Neil Shephard & Tina Hviid Rydberg, 1999. "A modelling framework for the prices and times of trades made on the New York stock exchange," Economics Series Working Papers 1999-W14, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    19. Ulrich Horst & Michael Kupper & Andrea Macrina & Christoph Mainberger, 2013. "Continuous equilibrium in affine and information-based capital asset pricing models," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 725-755, November.
    20. M. Gardini & P. Sabino & E. Sasso, 2021. "The Variance Gamma++ Process and Applications to Energy Markets," Papers 2106.15452, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2201.08875. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.