IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2107.12462.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Robustness and sensitivity analyses for rough Volterra stochastic volatility models

Author

Listed:
  • Jan Matas
  • Jan Posp'iv{s}il

Abstract

In this paper, we analyze the robustness and sensitivity of various continuous-time rough Volterra stochastic volatility models in relation to the process of market calibration. Model robustness is examined from two perspectives: the sensitivity of option price estimates and the sensitivity of parameter estimates to changes in the option data structure. The following sensitivity analysis consists of statistical tests to determine whether a given studied model is sensitive to changes in the option data structure based on the distribution of parameter estimates. Empirical study is performed on a data set consisting of Apple Inc. equity options traded on four different days in April and May 2015. In particular, the results for RFSV, rBergomi and $\alpha$RFSV models are provided and compared to the results for Heston, Bates, and AFSVJD models.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan Matas & Jan Posp'iv{s}il, 2021. "Robustness and sensitivity analyses for rough Volterra stochastic volatility models," Papers 2107.12462, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2107.12462
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2107.12462
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fabienne Comte & Eric Renault, 1998. "Long memory in continuous‐time stochastic volatility models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(4), pages 291-323, October.
    2. Jim Gatheral & Thibault Jaisson & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "Volatility is rough," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(6), pages 933-949, June.
    3. Raúl Merino & Jan Pospíšil & Tomáš Sobotka & Tommi Sottinen & Josep Vives, 2021. "Decomposition Formula For Rough Volterra Stochastic Volatility Models," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 24(02), pages 1-47, March.
    4. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    5. Jan Pospíšil & Tomáš Sobotka & Philipp Ziegler, 2019. "Robustness and sensitivity analyses for stochastic volatility models under uncertain data structure," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1935-1958, December.
    6. Jan Posp'iv{s}il & Tom'av{s} Sobotka & Philipp Ziegler, 2019. "Robustness and sensitivity analyses for stochastic volatility models under uncertain data structure," Papers 1912.06709, arXiv.org.
    7. Christian Bayer & Peter Friz & Jim Gatheral, 2016. "Pricing under rough volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 887-904, June.
    8. F. Comte & L. Coutin & E. Renault, 2012. "Affine fractional stochastic volatility models," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 337-378, May.
    9. Bates, David S, 1996. "Jumps and Stochastic Volatility: Exchange Rate Processes Implicit in Deutsche Mark Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(1), pages 69-107.
    10. Hull, John C & White, Alan D, 1987. "The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(2), pages 281-300, June.
    11. Blanka Horvath & Aitor Muguruza & Mehdi Tomas, 2019. "Deep Learning Volatility," Papers 1901.09647, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2019.
    12. Raul Merino & Jan Posp'iv{s}il & Tom'av{s} Sobotka & Tommi Sottinen & Josep Vives, 2019. "Decomposition formula for rough Volterra stochastic volatility models," Papers 1906.07101, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2019.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Raul Merino & Jan Posp'iv{s}il & Tom'av{s} Sobotka & Tommi Sottinen & Josep Vives, 2019. "Decomposition formula for rough Volterra stochastic volatility models," Papers 1906.07101, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2019.
    2. Jan Matas & Jan Pospíšil, 2023. "Robustness and sensitivity analyses of rough Volterra stochastic volatility models," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 523-543, December.
    3. Jan Matas & Jan Posp'iv{s}il, 2021. "On simulation of rough Volterra stochastic volatility models," Papers 2108.01999, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    4. M.E. Mancino & S. Scotti & G. Toscano, 2020. "Is the Variance Swap Rate Affine in the Spot Variance? Evidence from S&P500 Data," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4), pages 288-316, July.
    5. Elisa Alòs & Jorge A. León, 2021. "An Intuitive Introduction to Fractional and Rough Volatilities," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-22, April.
    6. Bolko, Anine E. & Christensen, Kim & Pakkanen, Mikko S. & Veliyev, Bezirgen, 2023. "A GMM approach to estimate the roughness of stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 745-778.
    7. Giulia Di Nunno & Yuliya Mishura & Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko, 2022. "Option pricing in Sandwiched Volterra Volatility model," Papers 2209.10688, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    8. Li, Yicun & Teng, Yuanyang, 2023. "Statistical inference in discretely observed fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    9. Marc Lagunas-Merino & Salvador Ortiz-Latorre, 2020. "A decomposition formula for fractional Heston jump diffusion models," Papers 2007.14328, arXiv.org.
    10. Siow Woon Jeng & Adem Kilicman, 2020. "Series Expansion and Fourth-Order Global Padé Approximation for a Rough Heston Solution," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-26, November.
    11. Hideharu Funahashi & Masaaki Kijima, 2017. "Does the Hurst index matter for option prices under fractional volatility?," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 55-74, February.
    12. Giorgia Callegaro & Martino Grasselli & Gilles Paèes, 2021. "Fast Hybrid Schemes for Fractional Riccati Equations (Rough Is Not So Tough)," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 46(1), pages 221-254, February.
    13. Alòs, Elisa & Antonelli, Fabio & Ramponi, Alessandro & Scarlatti, Sergio, 2023. "CVA in fractional and rough volatility models," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 442(C).
    14. Alessandro Bondi & Sergio Pulido & Simone Scotti, 2022. "The rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model," Papers 2210.12393, arXiv.org.
    15. Alessandro Bondi & Sergio Pulido & Simone Scotti, 2022. "The rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model," Working Papers hal-03827332, HAL.
    16. Yicun Li & Yuanyang Teng, 2022. "Estimation of the Hurst Parameter in Spot Volatility," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-26, May.
    17. Antoine Jacquier & Emma R. Malone & Mugad Oumgari, 2019. "Stacked Monte Carlo for option pricing," Papers 1903.10795, arXiv.org.
    18. Christian Bayer & Peter K. Friz & Paul Gassiat & Jorg Martin & Benjamin Stemper, 2020. "A regularity structure for rough volatility," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3), pages 782-832, July.
    19. Eduardo Abi Jaber, 2022. "The characteristic function of Gaussian stochastic volatility models: an analytic expression," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 733-769, October.
    20. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Li, Chenxu & Li, Chen Xu, 2021. "Closed-form implied volatility surfaces for stochastic volatility models with jumps," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 364-392.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2107.12462. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.