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Financial factors selection with knockoffs: fund replication, explanatory and prediction networks

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  • Damien Challet
  • Christian Bongiorno
  • Guillaume Pelletier

Abstract

We apply the knockoff procedure to factor selection in finance. By building fake but realistic factors, this procedure makes it possible to control the fraction of false discovery in a given set of factors. To show its versatility, we apply it to fund replication and to the inference of explanatory and prediction networks.

Suggested Citation

  • Damien Challet & Christian Bongiorno & Guillaume Pelletier, 2021. "Financial factors selection with knockoffs: fund replication, explanatory and prediction networks," Papers 2103.05921, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2103.05921
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christian Bongiorno & Damien Challet, 2021. "Covariance matrix filtering with bootstrapped hierarchies," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(1), pages 1-13, January.
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    4. Yingying Fan & Jinchi Lv & Mahrad Sharifvaghefi & Yoshimasa Uematsu, 2020. "IPAD: Stable Interpretable Forecasting with Knockoffs Inference," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 115(532), pages 1822-1834, December.
    5. Damien Challet & R'emy Chicheportiche & Mehdi Lallouache & Serge Kassibrakis, 2016. "Statistically validated lead-lag networks and inventory prediction in the foreign exchange market," Papers 1609.04640, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2018.
    6. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    7. Papana, Angeliki & Kyrtsou, Catherine & Kugiumtzis, Dimitris & Diks, Cees, 2017. "Financial networks based on Granger causality: A case study," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 65-73.
    8. Michele Tumminello & Salvatore Miccichè & Fabrizio Lillo & Jyrki Piilo & Rosario N Mantegna, 2011. "Statistically Validated Networks in Bipartite Complex Systems," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(3), pages 1-11, March.
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    11. Emmanuel Candès & Yingying Fan & Lucas Janson & Jinchi Lv, 2018. "Panning for gold: ‘model‐X’ knockoffs for high dimensional controlled variable selection," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 80(3), pages 551-577, June.
    12. repec:wsi:acsxxx:v:21:y:2018:i:08:n:s0219525918500194 is not listed on IDEAS
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