IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1910.08344.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Pricing and Hedging Performance on Pegged FX Markets Based on a Regime Switching Model

Author

Listed:
  • Samuel Drapeau
  • Yunbo Zhang

Abstract

This paper investigates the hedging performance of pegged foreign exchange market in a regime switching (RS) model introduced in a recent paper by Drapeau, Wang and Wang (2019). We compare two prices, an exact solution and first order approximation and provide the bounds for the error. We provide exact RS delta, approximated RS delta as well as mean variance hedging strategies for this specific model and compare their performance. To improve the efficiency of the pricing and calibration procedure, the Fourier approach of this regime-switching model is developed in our work. It turns out that: 1 -- the calibration of the volatility surface with this regime switching model outperforms on real data the classical SABR model; 2 -- the Fourier approach is significantly faster than the direct approach; 3 -- in terms of hedging, the approximated RS delta hedge is a viable alternative to the exact RS delta hedge while significantly faster.

Suggested Citation

  • Samuel Drapeau & Yunbo Zhang, 2019. "Pricing and Hedging Performance on Pegged FX Markets Based on a Regime Switching Model," Papers 1910.08344, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1910.08344
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1910.08344
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. R. H. Liu, 2010. "Regime-Switching Recombining Tree For Option Pricing," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(03), pages 479-499.
    2. Peter P. Carr & Zura Kakushadze, 2017. "FX options in target zones," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(10), pages 1477-1486, October.
    3. Alessandro Ramponi, 2011. "Mixture Dynamics and Regime Switching Diffusions with Application to Option Pricing," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 349-368, June.
    4. Christian Gourieroux & Jean Paul Laurent & Huyên Pham, 1998. "Mean‐Variance Hedging and Numéraire," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(3), pages 179-200, July.
    5. Peter Carr, 2017. "Bounded Brownian Motion," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-11, November.
    6. Giuseppe Di Graziano & L. C. G. Rogers, 2009. "Equity with Markov-modulated dividends," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 19-26.
    7. Garman, Mark B. & Kohlhagen, Steven W., 1983. "Foreign currency option values," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(3), pages 231-237, December.
    8. Hamilton, James D., 1990. "Analysis of time series subject to changes in regime," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1-2), pages 39-70.
    9. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    10. Alan L. Lewis, 2001. "A Simple Option Formula for General Jump-Diffusion and other Exponential Levy Processes," Related articles explevy, Finance Press.
    11. Naik, Vasanttilak, 1993. "Option Valuation and Hedging Strategies with Jumps in the Volatility of Asset Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1969-1984, December.
    12. Anindya Goswami & Omkar Manjarekar & Anjana R, 2018. "Option Pricing in a Regime Switching Jump Diffusion Model," Papers 1811.11379, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    13. Jean-Paul Laurent & Huyen Pham, 1999. "Dynamic programming and mean-variance hedging," Post-Print hal-03675953, HAL.
    14. Takuji Arai, 2005. "An extension of mean-variance hedging to the discontinuous case," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 129-139, January.
    15. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-384, March.
    16. Sven Rady, 1997. "Option pricing in the presence of natural boundaries and a quadratic diffusion term (*)," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 1(4), pages 331-344.
    17. Martin Schweizer & HuyËn Pham & (*), Thorsten RheinlÄnder, 1998. "Mean-variance hedging for continuous processes: New proofs and examples," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 2(2), pages 173-198.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dong-Mei Zhu & Jiejun Lu & Wai-Ki Ching & Tak-Kuen Siu, 2019. "Option Pricing Under a Stochastic Interest Rate and Volatility Model with Hidden Markovian Regime-Switching," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(2), pages 555-586, February.
    2. Alessandro Ramponi, 2011. "Mixture Dynamics and Regime Switching Diffusions with Application to Option Pricing," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 349-368, June.
    3. Carl Chiarella & Christina Nikitopoulos-Sklibosios & Erik Schlogl & Hongang Yang, 2016. "Pricing American Options under Regime Switching Using Method of Lines," Research Paper Series 368, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    4. He, Xin-Jiang & Zhu, Song-Ping, 2017. "How should a local regime-switching model be calibrated?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 149-163.
    5. Bollen, Nicolas P. B & Rasiel, Emma, 2003. "The performance of alternative valuation models in the OTC currency options market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 33-64, February.
    6. Kohlmann, Michael & Tang, Shanjian, 2000. "Recent Advances in Backward Stochastics Riccati Equations and Their Applications," CoFE Discussion Papers 00/30, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
    7. Emilio Russo, 2020. "A Discrete-Time Approach to Evaluate Path-Dependent Derivatives in a Regime-Switching Risk Model," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-22, January.
    8. Bollen, Nicolas P. B. & Gray, Stephen F. & Whaley, Robert E., 2000. "Regime switching in foreign exchange rates: Evidence from currency option prices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1-2), pages 239-276.
    9. Massimo Costabile & Arturo Leccadito & Ivar Massabó & Emilio Russo, 2014. "A reduced lattice model for option pricing under regime-switching," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 42(4), pages 667-690, May.
    10. Kohlmann, Michael & Tang, Shanjian, 2000. "Global Adapted Solution of One-Dimensional Backward Stochastic Riccati Equations, with Application to the Mean-Variance Hedging," CoFE Discussion Papers 00/26, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
    11. Zhang, Xiaoyuan & Zhang, Tianqi, 2023. "On pricing double-barrier options with Markov regime switching," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    12. Vicky Henderson & David Hobson & Sam Howison & Tino Kluge, 2003. "A Comparison of q-optimal Option Prices in a Stochastic Volatility Model with Correlation," OFRC Working Papers Series 2003mf02, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
    13. Siu, Tak Kuen & Yang, Hailiang & Lau, John W., 2008. "Pricing currency options under two-factor Markov-modulated stochastic volatility models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 295-302, December.
    14. Henri Bertholon & Alain Monfort & Fulvio Pegoraro, 2006. "Pricing and Inference with Mixtures of Conditionally Normal Processes," Working Papers 2006-28, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    15. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    16. Shin-Yun Wang & Ming-Che Chuang & Shih-Kuei Lin & So-De Shyu, 2021. "Option pricing under stock market cycles with jump risks: evidence from the S&P 500 index," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 25-51, January.
    17. Stephane Goutte & Armand Ngoupeyou, 2012. "Optimization problem and mean variance hedging on defaultable claims," Papers 1209.5953, arXiv.org.
    18. Bong-Gyu Jang & Kum-Hwan Roh, 2009. "Valuing qualitative options with stochastic volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(7), pages 819-825.
    19. Andrew E. B. Lim, 2004. "Quadratic Hedging and Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection with Random Parameters in an Incomplete Market," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 29(1), pages 132-161, February.
    20. Cordis, Adriana S. & Kirby, Chris, 2014. "Discrete stochastic autoregressive volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 160-178.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1910.08344. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.