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Pricing Reliability Options under different electricity prices' regimes

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  • Luisa Andreis
  • Maria Flora
  • Fulvio Fontini
  • Tiziano Vargiolu

Abstract

Reliability Options are capacity remuneration mechanisms aimed at enhancing security of supply in electricity systems. They can be framed as call options on electricity sold by power producers to System Operators. This paper provides a comprehensive mathematical treatment of Reliability Options. Their value is first derived by means of closed-form pricing formulae, which are obtained under several assumptions about the dynamics of electricity prices and strike prices. Then, the value of the Reliability Option is simulated under a real-market calibration, using data of the Italian power market. We finally perform sensitivity analyses to highlight the impact of the level and volatility of both power and strike price, of the mean reversion speeds and of the correlation coefficient on the Reliability Options' value.

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  • Luisa Andreis & Maria Flora & Fulvio Fontini & Tiziano Vargiolu, 2019. "Pricing Reliability Options under different electricity prices' regimes," Papers 1909.05761, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1909.05761
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    Cited by:

    1. Cinzia Bonaldo & Fulvio Fontini & Michele Moretto, 2022. "The Energy Transition and the Value of Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms," Working Papers 2022.16, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    2. Feng, Yuanhao & Feng, Donghan & Zhou, Yun & Xu, Shaolun, 2024. "Generation side strategy and user side cost based on equilibrium analysis of the power market under the reliability option," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
    3. Castellini, Marta & Di Corato, Luca & Moretto, Michele & Vergalli, Sergio, 2021. "Energy exchange among heterogeneous prosumers under price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    4. Avner Bar-Ilan & Yishay D. Maoz, 2021. "Choosing a Price and Cost Combination—The Role of Correlation," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-13, November.
    5. Mariia Soloviova & Tiziano Vargiolu, 2020. "Efficient representation of supply and demand curves on day-ahead electricity markets," Papers 2002.00507, arXiv.org.
    6. Samuli Honkapuro & Jasmin Jaanto & Salla Annala, 2023. "A Systematic Review of European Electricity Market Design Options," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-26, April.
    7. Mastropietro, Paolo & Rodilla, Pablo & Rivier, Michel & Batlle, Carlos, 2024. "Reliability options: Regulatory recommendations for the next generation of capacity remuneration mechanisms," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    8. Brito-Pereira, Paulo & Mastropietro, Paolo & Rodilla, Pablo & Barroso, Luiz Augusto & Batlle, Carlos, 2022. "Adjusting the aim of capacity mechanisms: Future-proof reliability metrics and firm supply calculations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    9. Fontini, Fulvio & Vargiolu, Tiziano & Zormpas, Dimitrios, 2021. "Investing in electricity production under a reliability options scheme," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).

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