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Equilibrium concepts for time-inconsistent stopping problems in continuous time

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  • Erhan Bayraktar
  • Jingjie Zhang
  • Zhou Zhou

Abstract

A \emph{new} notion of equilibrium, which we call \emph{strong equilibrium}, is introduced for time-inconsistent stopping problems in continuous time. Compared to the existing notions introduced in ArXiv: 1502.03998 and ArXiv: 1709.05181, which in this paper are called \emph{mild equilibrium} and \emph{weak equilibrium} respectively, a strong equilibrium captures the idea of subgame perfect Nash equilibrium more accurately. When the state process is a continuous-time Markov chain and the discount function is log sub-additive, we show that an optimal mild equilibrium is always a strong equilibrium. Moreover, we provide a new iteration method that can directly construct an optimal mild equilibrium and thus also prove its existence.

Suggested Citation

  • Erhan Bayraktar & Jingjie Zhang & Zhou Zhou, 2019. "Equilibrium concepts for time-inconsistent stopping problems in continuous time," Papers 1909.01112, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1909.01112
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yu‐Jui Huang & Adrien Nguyen‐Huu & Xun Yu Zhou, 2020. "General stopping behaviors of naïve and noncommitted sophisticated agents, with application to probability distortion," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 310-340, January.
    2. R. H. Strotz, 1955. "Myopia and Inconsistency in Dynamic Utility Maximization," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 23(3), pages 165-180.
    3. Tomas Björk & Agatha Murgoci, 2014. "A theory of Markovian time-inconsistent stochastic control in discrete time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 545-592, July.
    4. Yu-Jui Huang & Adrien Nguyen-Huu, 2018. "Time-consistent stopping under decreasing impatience," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 69-95, January.
    5. Yu-Jui Huang & Adrien Nguyen-Huu & Xun Yu Zhou, 2018. "General stopping behaviors of naïve and non-committed sophisticated agents, with application to probability distortion," CEE-M Working Papers 18-16, CEE-M, Universitiy of Montpellier, CNRS, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro.
    6. George Loewenstein & Drazen Prelec, 1992. "Anomalies in Intertemporal Choice: Evidence and an Interpretation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(2), pages 573-597.
    7. Thaler, Richard, 1981. "Some empirical evidence on dynamic inconsistency," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 201-207.
    8. Yu-Jui Huang & Xiang Yu, 2019. "Optimal Stopping under Model Ambiguity: a Time-Consistent Equilibrium Approach," Papers 1906.01232, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    9. Tomas Björk & Mariana Khapko & Agatha Murgoci, 2017. "On time-inconsistent stochastic control in continuous time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 331-360, April.
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    11. Noor, Jawwad, 2009. "Decreasing impatience and the magnitude effect jointly contradict exponential discounting," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 869-875, March.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Soren Christensen & Kristoffer Lindensjo, 2019. "Time-inconsistent stopping, myopic adjustment & equilibrium stability: with a mean-variance application," Papers 1909.11921, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
    2. Yu-Jui Huang & Zhou Zhou, 2022. "A time-inconsistent Dynkin game: from intra-personal to inter-personal equilibria," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 301-334, April.
    3. Shuoqing Deng & Xiang Yu & Jiacheng Zhang, 2023. "On time-consistent equilibrium stopping under aggregation of diverse discount rates," Papers 2302.07470, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    4. Zongxia Liang & Fengyi Yuan, 2021. "Weak equilibria for time-inconsistent control: with applications to investment-withdrawal decisions," Papers 2105.06607, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    5. Yu‐Jui Huang & Xiang Yu, 2021. "Optimal stopping under model ambiguity: A time‐consistent equilibrium approach," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 979-1012, July.
    6. Xue Dong He & Xun Yu Zhou, 2021. "Who Are I: Time Inconsistency and Intrapersonal Conflict and Reconciliation," Papers 2105.01829, arXiv.org.
    7. Erhan Bayraktar & Zhenhua Wang & Zhou Zhou, 2023. "Equilibria of time‐inconsistent stopping for one‐dimensional diffusion processes," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(3), pages 797-841, July.
    8. Pengyu Wei & Wei Wei, 2024. "Irreversible investment under weighted discounting: effects of decreasing impatience," Papers 2409.01478, arXiv.org.
    9. Yu-Jui Huang & Zhenhua Wang, 2020. "Optimal Equilibria for Multi-dimensional Time-inconsistent Stopping Problems," Papers 2006.00754, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.

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