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Welfare Analysis in Dynamic Models

Author

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  • Victor Chernozhukov
  • Whitney Newey
  • Vira Semenova

Abstract

This paper provides welfare metrics for dynamic choice. We give estimation and inference methods for functions of the expected value of dynamic choice. These parameters include average value by group, average derivatives with respect to endowments, and structural decompositions. The example of dynamic discrete choice is considered. We give dual and doubly robust representations of these parameters. A least squares estimator of the dynamic Riesz representer for the parameter of interest is given. Debiased machine learners are provided and asymptotic theory given.

Suggested Citation

  • Victor Chernozhukov & Whitney Newey & Vira Semenova, 2019. "Welfare Analysis in Dynamic Models," Papers 1908.09173, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1908.09173
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1908.09173
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Christian Hansen & Whitney Newey & James Robins, 2018. "Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 21(1), pages 1-68, February.
    2. Victor Aguirregabiria & Pedro Mira, 2002. "Swapping the Nested Fixed Point Algorithm: A Class of Estimators for Discrete Markov Decision Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(4), pages 1519-1543, July.
    3. Victor Chernozhukov & Christian Hansen & Martin Spindler, 2015. "Valid Post-Selection and Post-Regularization Inference: An Elementary, General Approach," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 649-688, August.
    4. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Christian Hansen & Whitney Newey, 2017. "Double/Debiased/Neyman Machine Learning of Treatment Effects," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(5), pages 261-265, May.
    5. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Christian Hansen & Whitney Newey & James Robins, 2016. "Double/Debiased Machine Learning for Treatment and Causal Parameters," Papers 1608.00060, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
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    Cited by:

    1. Minkyung Kim & K. Sudhir & Kosuke Uetake, 2022. "A Structural Model of a Multitasking Salesforce: Incentives, Private Information, and Job Design," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(6), pages 4602-4630, June.

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