IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1908.07102.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Explosion in the quasi-Gaussian HJM model

Author

Listed:
  • Dan Pirjol
  • Lingjiong Zhu

Abstract

We study the explosion of the solutions of the SDE in the quasi-Gaussian HJM model with a CEV-type volatility. The quasi-Gaussian HJM models are a popular approach for modeling the dynamics of the yield curve. This is due to their low dimensional Markovian representation which simplifies their numerical implementation and simulation. We show rigorously that the short rate in these models explodes in finite time with positive probability, under certain assumptions for the model parameters, and that the explosion occurs in finite time with probability one under some stronger assumptions. We discuss the implications of these results for the pricing of the zero coupon bonds and Eurodollar futures under this model.

Suggested Citation

  • Dan Pirjol & Lingjiong Zhu, 2019. "Explosion in the quasi-Gaussian HJM model," Papers 1908.07102, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1908.07102
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1908.07102
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wissel, Johannes, 2007. "Some results on strong solutions of SDEs with applications to interest rate models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 117(6), pages 720-741, June.
    2. Xing, Jiamin & Li, Yong, 2016. "Nonlinear Lyapunov criteria for stochastic explosive solutions," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 63-67.
    3. Peter Ritchken & L. Sankarasubramanian, 1995. "Volatility Structures Of Forward Rates And The Dynamics Of The Term Structure1," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(1), pages 55-72, January.
    4. Chow, Pao-Liu & Khasminskii, Rafail, 2014. "Almost sure explosion of solutions to stochastic differential equations," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 639-645.
    5. David Heath & Robert Jarrow & Andrew Morton, 2008. "Bond Pricing And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates: A New Methodology For Contingent Claims Valuation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 13, pages 277-305, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. Leif Andersen & Vladimir Piterbarg, 2007. "Moment explosions in stochastic volatility models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 29-50, January.
    7. Leif Andersen & Jesper Andreasen, 2000. "Volatility skews and extensions of the Libor market model," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1-32.
    8. Klaus Sandmann & Dieter Sondermann, 1997. "A Note on the Stability of Lognormal Interest Rate Models and the Pricing of Eurodollar Futures," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(2), pages 119-125, April.
    9. Nusret Cakici & Jintao Zhu, 2001. "Pricing Eurodollar Futures Options with the Heath—Jarrow—Morton Model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(7), pages 655-680, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dan Pirjol & Lingjiong Zhu, 2018. "Explosion in the quasi-Gaussian HJM model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 643-666, July.
    2. Duffie, Darrell, 2003. "Intertemporal asset pricing theory," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 11, pages 639-742, Elsevier.
    3. Dariusz Gatarek & Juliusz Jabłecki, 2021. "Between Scylla and Charybdis: The Bermudan Swaptions Pricing Odyssey," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-32, January.
    4. Svenstrup, Mikkel, 2005. "On the suboptimality of single-factor exercise strategies for Bermudan swaptions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(3), pages 651-684, December.
    5. Carl Chiarella & Xue-Zhong He & Christina Sklibosios Nikitopoulos, 2015. "Derivative Security Pricing," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, Springer, edition 127, number 978-3-662-45906-5, March.
    6. Dan Pirjol & Lingjiong Zhu, 2019. "Small-noise limit of the quasi-Gaussian log-normal HJM model," Papers 1908.07098, arXiv.org.
    7. Dan Pirjol, 2015. "Hogan-Weintraub singularity and explosive behaviour in the Black-Derman-Toy model," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(7), pages 1243-1257, July.
    8. Dan Pirjol, 2016. "Eurodollar futures pricing in log-normal interest rate models in discrete time," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(6), pages 445-464, November.
    9. Chiarella, Carl & Kang, Boda & Nikitopoulos, Christina Sklibosios & Tô, Thuy-Duong, 2013. "Humps in the volatility structure of the crude oil futures market: New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 989-1000.
    10. Eckhard Platen, 2005. "An Alternative Interest Rate Term Structure Model," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(06), pages 717-735.
    11. Bjork, Tomas, 2009. "Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 3, number 9780199574742.
    12. Frank De Jong & Joost Driessen & Antoon Pelsser, 2001. "Libor Market Models versus Swap Market Models for Pricing Interest Rate Derivatives: An Empirical Analysis," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 5(3), pages 201-237.
    13. Ram Bhar & Carl Chiarella, 1995. "The Estimation of the Heath-Jarrow-Morton Model by Use of Kalman Filtering Techniques," Working Paper Series 54, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    14. Paul Glasserman & S. G. Kou, 2003. "The Term Structure of Simple Forward Rates with Jump Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(3), pages 383-410, July.
    15. Srichander Ramaswamy, 1997. "Global asset allocation in fixed income markets," BIS Working Papers 46, Bank for International Settlements.
    16. Takashi Yasuoka, 2001. "Mathematical Pseudo-Completion Of The Bgm Model," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(03), pages 375-401.
    17. R. Bhar & C. Chiarella, 1997. "Transformation of Heath?Jarrow?Morton models to Markovian systems," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 1-26, March.
    18. Chiarella, Carl & Clewlow, Les & Musti, Silvana, 2005. "A volatility decomposition control variate technique for Monte Carlo simulations of Heath Jarrow Morton models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 161(2), pages 325-336, March.
    19. Samuel Chege Maina, 2011. "Credit Risk Modelling in Markovian HJM Term Structure Class of Models with Stochastic Volatility," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 1-2011, January-A.
    20. Carl Chiarella & Samuel Chege Maina & Christina Nikitopoulos-Sklibosios, 2010. "Markovian Defaultable HJM Term Structure Models with Unspanned Stochastic Volatility," Research Paper Series 283, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1908.07102. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.