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Global asset allocation in fixed income markets

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  • Srichander Ramaswamy

Abstract

Many global investors are faced with the problem of choosing an appropriate currency allocation of their assets in the capital markets. This paper addresses the asset allocation problem under the assumption that the investment universe is comprised of unhedged risk-free bonds in different countries. In general, the total return arising from holding an unhedged bond portfolio is comprised of two components. One component of the return arises from the bond price changes resulting from yield curve movements and the other component arises from exchange rate fluctuations. In this paper, bond price changes are assumed to be governed by a one factor interest rate term structure model. The return arising from exchange rate changes is extracted by modelling the evolution of exchange rates as a jump stochastic process. The jump process is assumed to occur in the volatility of exchange rate returns. This model is consistent with the empirical evidence that the volatility of currency returns exhibits GARCH behaviour. Using the models that describe the evolution of interest rates and exchange rates, the optimal portfolio allocation problem is solved in a mean-variance setting by Monte Carlo simulation. The out-of-sample performance of the portfolios selected is also presented and is compared against those obtained using other existing methods.

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  • Srichander Ramaswamy, 1997. "Global asset allocation in fixed income markets," BIS Working Papers 46, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:46
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Sergio, Bianchi & Alessandro, Trudda, 2008. "Global Asset Return in Pension Funds: a dynamical risk analysis," MPRA Paper 12011, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jun 2008.
    2. Ivan Popchev & Irina Radeva, 2004. "Bonds Portfolio Management: Analysis and Application of the Model of Multiperiod Immunization," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 4, pages 28-43.

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