IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1906.07834.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Signatures of crypto-currency market decoupling from the Forex

Author

Listed:
  • Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z
  • Ludovico Minati
  • Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka
  • Marek Stanuszek
  • Marcin Wk{a}torek

Abstract

Based on the high-frequency recordings from Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange and professional trading platform that aims to bring Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies into the mainstream, the multiscale cross-correlations involving the Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Euro (EUR) and US dollar (USD) are studied over the period between July 1, 2016 and December 31, 2018. It is shown that the multiscaling characteristics of the exchange rate fluctuations related to the cryptocurrency market approach those of the Forex. This, in particular, applies to the BTC/ETH exchange rate, whose Hurst exponent by the end of 2018 started approaching the value of 0.5, which is characteristic of the mature world markets. Furthermore, the BTC/ETH direct exchange rate has already developed multifractality, which manifests itself via broad singularity spectra. A particularly significant result is that the measures applied for detecting cross-correlations between the dynamics of the BTC/ETH and EUR/USD exchange rates do not show any noticeable relationships. This may be taken as an indication that the cryptocurrency market has begun decoupling itself from the Forex.

Suggested Citation

  • Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Ludovico Minati & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2019. "Signatures of crypto-currency market decoupling from the Forex," Papers 1906.07834, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2019.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1906.07834
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1906.07834
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bence Toth & Janos Kertesz, 2009. "The Epps effect revisited," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(7), pages 793-802.
    2. Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Vasiliki Plerou & Luis A. Nunes Amaral & Martin Meyer & H. Eugene Stanley, 1999. "Scaling of the distribution of fluctuations of financial market indices," Papers cond-mat/9905305, arXiv.org.
    3. Li, Jianfeng & Lu, Xinsheng & Zhou, Ying, 2016. "Cross-correlations between crude oil and exchange markets for selected oil rich economies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 453(C), pages 131-143.
    4. Grech, Dariusz, 2016. "Alternative measure of multifractal content and its application in finance," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 183-195.
    5. Rafal Rak & Stanislaw Drozdz & Jaroslaw Kwapien & Pawel Oswiecimka, 2015. "Detrended cross-correlations between returns, volatility, trading activity, and volume traded for the stock market companies," Papers 1510.04910, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2015.
    6. Stanislaw Drozdz & Jaroslaw Kwapien & Pawel Oswiecimka & Rafal Rak, 2010. "The foreign exchange market: return distributions, multifractality, anomalous multifractality and Epps effect," Papers 1011.2385, arXiv.org.
    7. Drożdż, S. & Forczek, M. & Kwapień, J. & Oświe¸cimka, P. & Rak, R., 2007. "Stock market return distributions: From past to present," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 383(1), pages 59-64.
    8. Jaroslaw Kwapien & Pawel Oswiecimka & Stanislaw Drozdz, 2015. "Detrended fluctuation analysis made flexible to detect range of cross-correlated fluctuations," Papers 1506.08692, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2015.
    9. Pal, Mayukha & Madhusudana Rao, P. & Manimaran, P., 2014. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis on gold, crude oil and foreign exchange rate time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 452-460.
    10. Wa̧torek, Marcin & Drożdż, Stanisław & Oświȩcimka, Paweł & Stanuszek, Marek, 2019. "Multifractal cross-correlations between the world oil and other financial markets in 2012–2017," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 874-885.
    11. Jaroslaw Kwapien & Pawel Oswiecimka & Marcin Forczek & Stanislaw Drozdz, 2016. "Minimum spanning tree filtering of correlations for varying time scales and size of fluctuations," Papers 1610.08416, arXiv.org, revised May 2017.
    12. Di Matteo, T. & Aste, T. & Dacorogna, M.M., 2003. "Scaling behaviors in differently developed markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 324(1), pages 183-188.
    13. Urquhart, Andrew & Zhang, Hanxiong, 2019. "Is Bitcoin a hedge or safe haven for currencies? An intraday analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 49-57.
    14. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Robert Gk{e}barowski & Ludovico Minati & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2018. "Bitcoin market route to maturity? Evidence from return fluctuations, temporal correlations and multiscaling effects," Papers 1804.05916, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2018.
    15. S. Drozdz & J. Kwapien & F. Gruemmer & F. Ruf & J. Speth, 2002. "Are the contemporary financial fluctuations sooner converging to normal?," Papers cond-mat/0208240, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2003.
    16. Hussain, Muntazir & Zebende, Gilney Figueira & Bashir, Usman & Donghong, Ding, 2017. "Oil price and exchange rate co-movements in Asian countries: Detrended cross-correlation approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 338-346.
    17. Pawe{l} O'swic{e}cimka & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Marcin Forczek & Stanis{l}aw Jadach & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n, 2013. "Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis Consistently Extended to Multifractality," Papers 1308.6148, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2014.
    18. Kantelhardt, Jan W. & Zschiegner, Stephan A. & Koscielny-Bunde, Eva & Havlin, Shlomo & Bunde, Armin & Stanley, H.Eugene, 2002. "Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of nonstationary time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 316(1), pages 87-114.
    19. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Lucey, Brian, 2019. "Is Bitcoin a better safe-haven investment than gold and commodities?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 322-330.
    20. Reboredo, Juan Carlos & Rivera-Castro, Miguel A. & Zebende, Gilney F., 2014. "Oil and US dollar exchange rate dependence: A detrended cross-correlation approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 132-139.
    21. Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Martin Meyer & Luis A Nunes Amaral & H Eugene Stanley, 1998. "Inverse Cubic Law for the Probability Distribution of Stock Price Variations," Papers cond-mat/9803374, arXiv.org, revised May 1998.
    22. Aurelio F. Bariviera & Luciano Zunino & Osvaldo A. Rosso, 2018. "An analysis of high-frequency cryptocurrencies prices dynamics using permutation-information-theory quantifiers," Papers 1808.01926, arXiv.org.
    23. S. Drozdz & M. Forczek & J. Kwapien & P. Oswiecimka & R. Rak, 2007. "Stock market return distributions: from past to present," Papers 0704.0664, arXiv.org.
    24. Wei-Xing Zhou, 2008. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis for two nonstationary signals," Papers 0803.2773, arXiv.org.
    25. P. Gopikrishnan & M. Meyer & L.A.N. Amaral & H.E. Stanley, 1998. "Inverse cubic law for the distribution of stock price variations," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 3(2), pages 139-140, July.
    26. Ausloos, M., 2000. "Statistical physics in foreign exchange currency and stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 285(1), pages 48-65.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stanisław Drożdż & Ludovico Minati & Paweł Oświȩcimka & Marek Stanuszek & Marcin Wa̧torek, 2019. "Signatures of the Crypto-Currency Market Decoupling from the Forex," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-18, July.
    2. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Ludovico Minati & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2020. "Multiscale characteristics of the emerging global cryptocurrency market," Papers 2010.15403, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    3. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2023. "What is mature and what is still emerging in the cryptocurrency market?," Papers 2305.05751, arXiv.org.
    4. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Tomasz Stanisz & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2020. "Complexity in economic and social systems: cryptocurrency market at around COVID-19," Papers 2009.10030, arXiv.org.
    5. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Pawe{l} O'swic{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2018. "Multifractal cross-correlations between the World Oil and other Financial Markets in 2012-2017," Papers 1812.08548, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
    6. Ghazani, Majid Mirzaee & Khosravi, Reza, 2020. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis on benchmark cryptocurrencies and crude oil prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 560(C).
    7. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Marcin Kr'olczyk & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Tomasz Stanisz & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z, 2024. "Approaching multifractal complexity in decentralized cryptocurrency trading," Papers 2411.05951, arXiv.org.
    8. Provash Mali & Amitabha Mukhopadhyay, 2015. "Multifractal characterization of gold market: a multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Papers 1506.08847, arXiv.org.
    9. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Rafa{l} Kowalski & Pawe{l} O'swic{e}cimka & Rafa{l} Rak & Robert Gc{e}barowski, 2018. "Dynamical variety of shapes in financial multifractality," Papers 1809.06728, arXiv.org.
    10. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z, 2021. "Financial Return Distributions: Past, Present, and COVID-19," Papers 2107.06659, arXiv.org.
    11. Mali, Provash & Mukhopadhyay, Amitabha, 2014. "Multifractal characterization of gold market: A multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 361-372.
    12. Hasan, Rashid & Mohammed Salim, M., 2017. "Power law cross-correlations between price change and volume change of Indian stocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 473(C), pages 620-631.
    13. Ruan, Qingsong & Bao, Junjie & Zhang, Manqian & Fan, Limin, 2019. "The effects of exchange rate regime reform on RMB markets: A new perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 522(C), pages 122-134.
    14. Wu, Ting & Wang, Yue & Li, Ming-Xia, 2017. "Post-hit dynamics of price limit hits in the Chinese stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 464-471.
    15. Charutha, S. & Gopal Krishna, M. & Manimaran, P., 2020. "Multifractal analysis of Indian public sector enterprises," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
    16. Fernández-Martínez, M. & Sánchez-Granero, M.A. & Casado Belmonte, M.P. & Trinidad Segovia, J.E., 2020. "A note on power-law cross-correlated processes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    17. Sun, Xinxin & Lu, Xinsheng & Yue, Gongzheng & Li, Jianfeng, 2017. "Cross-correlations between the US monetary policy, US dollar index and crude oil market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 467(C), pages 326-344.
    18. Lu, Xinsheng & Sun, Xinxin & Ge, Jintian, 2017. "Dynamic relationship between Japanese Yen exchange rates and market anxiety: A new perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 474(C), pages 144-161.
    19. Li, Wei & Lu, Xinsheng & Ren, Yongping & Zhou, Ying, 2018. "Dynamic relationship between RMB exchange rate index and stock market liquidity: A new perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 726-739.
    20. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z, 2023. "Cryptocurrencies Are Becoming Part of the World Global Financial Market," Papers 2303.00495, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1906.07834. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.