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Retirement spending and biological age

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  • Huaxiong Huang
  • Moshe A. Milevsky
  • Thomas S. Salisbury

Abstract

We solve a lifecycle model in which the consumer's chronological age does not move in lockstep with calendar time. Instead, biological age increases at a stochastic non-linear rate in time like a broken clock that might occasionally move backwards. In other words, biological age could actually decline. Our paper is inspired by the growing body of medical literature that has identified biomarkers which indicate how people age at different rates. This offers better estimates of expected remaining lifetime and future mortality rates. It isn't farfetched to argue that in the not-too-distant future personal age will be more closely associated with biological vs. calendar age. Thus, after introducing our stochastic mortality model we derive optimal consumption rates in a classic Yaari (1965) framework adjusted to our proper clock time. In addition to the normative implications of having access to biological age, our positive objective is to partially explain the cross-sectional heterogeneity in retirement spending rates at any given chronological age. In sum, we argue that neither biological nor chronological age alone is a sufficient statistic for making economic decisions. Rather, both ages are required to behave rationally.

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  • Huaxiong Huang & Moshe A. Milevsky & Thomas S. Salisbury, 2018. "Retirement spending and biological age," Papers 1811.09921, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1811.09921
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    2. Milevsky, Moshe A., 2020. "Calibrating Gompertz in reverse: What is your longevity-risk-adjusted global age?," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 147-161.
    3. Martin Eling & Irina Gemmo & Danjela Guxha & Hato Schmeiser, 2024. "Big data, risk classification, and privacy in insurance markets," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 49(1), pages 75-126, March.
    4. S. Kirusheva & H. Huang & T. S. Salisbury, 2022. "Retirement spending problem under Habit Formation Model," Papers 2210.06255, arXiv.org.
    5. Marcel Bräutigam & Montserrat Guillén & Jens P. Nielsen, 2017. "Facing Up to Longevity with Old Actuarial Methods: A Comparison of Pooled Funds and Income Tontines," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 42(3), pages 406-422, July.
    6. Ye, Zihan & Post, Thomas, 2020. "What age do you feel? – Subjective age identity and economic behaviors," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 322-341.
    7. Moshe A. Milevsky & Thomas S. Salisbury, 2024. "The Riccati Tontine: How to Satisfy Regulators on Average," Papers 2402.14555, arXiv.org.
    8. Alfredo Omar Palafox-Roca, 2023. "Consumo óptimo en el retiro con diferentes leyes de mortalidad," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 18(3), pages 1-30, Julio - S.

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