IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1809.04775.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Superstatistics with cut-off tails for financial time series

Author

Listed:
  • Yusuke Uchiyama
  • Takanori Kadoya

Abstract

Financial time series have been investigated to follow fat-tailed distributions. Further, an empirical probability distribution sometimes shows cut-off shapes on its tails. To describe this stylized fact, we incorporate the cut-off effect in superstatistics. Then we confirm that the presented stochastic model is capable of describing the statistical properties of real financial time series. In addition, we present an option pricing formula with respect to superstatistics.

Suggested Citation

  • Yusuke Uchiyama & Takanori Kadoya, 2018. "Superstatistics with cut-off tails for financial time series," Papers 1809.04775, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1809.04775
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1809.04775
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Beck, Christian, 2006. "Stretched exponentials from superstatistics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 365(1), pages 96-101.
    2. Sosa-Correa, William O. & Ramos, Antônio M.T. & Vasconcelos, Giovani L., 2018. "Investigation of non-Gaussian effects in the Brazilian option market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 496(C), pages 525-539.
    3. Xu, Dan & Beck, Christian, 2016. "Transition from lognormal to χ2-superstatistics for financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 453(C), pages 173-183.
    4. R. Cont, 2001. "Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 223-236.
    5. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    6. Dan Xu & Christian Beck, 2015. "Transition from lognormal to chi-square superstatistics for financial time series," Papers 1506.01660, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2016.
    7. Benoit Mandelbrot, 2015. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 3, pages 39-78, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    8. Erik Van der Straeten & Christian Beck, 2009. "Superstatistical fluctuations in time series: Applications to share-price dynamics and turbulence," Papers 0901.2271, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2009.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Devi, Sandhya, 2021. "Asymmetric Tsallis distributions for modeling financial market dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 578(C).
    2. Sandhya Devi, 2021. "Asymmetric Tsallis distributions for modelling financial market dynamics," Papers 2102.04532, arXiv.org.
    3. Geoffrey Ducournau, 2021. "Bayesian inference and superstatistics to describe long memory processes of financial time series," Papers 2105.04171, arXiv.org.
    4. Anirban Chakraborti & Ioane Muni Toke & Marco Patriarca & Frederic Abergel, 2011. "Econophysics review: I. Empirical facts," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(7), pages 991-1012.
    5. Giulia Di Nunno & Kk{e}stutis Kubilius & Yuliya Mishura & Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko, 2023. "From constant to rough: A survey of continuous volatility modeling," Papers 2309.01033, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    6. Michele Vodret & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Bence Tóth & Michael Benzaquen, 2023. "Microfounding GARCH models and beyond: a Kyle-inspired model with adaptive agents," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 18(3), pages 599-625, July.
    7. Göncü, Ahmet & Karahan, Mehmet Oğuz & Kuzubaş, Tolga Umut, 2016. "A comparative goodness-of-fit analysis of distributions of some Lévy processes and Heston model to stock index returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 69-83.
    8. Eom, Cheoljun & Kaizoji, Taisei & Scalas, Enrico, 2019. "Fat tails in financial return distributions revisited: Evidence from the Korean stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 526(C).
    9. Christopher M Wray & Steven R Bishop, 2016. "A Financial Market Model Incorporating Herd Behaviour," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(3), pages 1-28, March.
    10. Aaron Wheeler & Jeffrey D. Varner, 2023. "Scalable Agent-Based Modeling for Complex Financial Market Simulations," Papers 2312.14903, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    11. Ata Türkoğlu, 2016. "Normally distributed high-frequency returns: a subordination approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 389-409, March.
    12. Barone-Adesi, Giovanni & Rasmussen, Henrik & Ravanelli, Claudia, 2005. "An option pricing formula for the GARCH diffusion model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 287-310, April.
    13. Baldovin, Fulvio & Caporin, Massimiliano & Caraglio, Michele & Stella, Attilio L. & Zamparo, Marco, 2015. "Option pricing with non-Gaussian scaling and infinite-state switching volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 486-497.
    14. Pablo Su'arez-Garc'ia & David G'omez-Ullate, 2012. "Scaling, stability and distribution of the high-frequency returns of the IBEX35 index," Papers 1208.0317, arXiv.org.
    15. De Domenico, Federica & Livan, Giacomo & Montagna, Guido & Nicrosini, Oreste, 2023. "Modeling and simulation of financial returns under non-Gaussian distributions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 622(C).
    16. Giacomo Bormetti & Sofia Cazzaniga, 2014. "Multiplicative noise, fast convolution and pricing," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 481-494, March.
    17. Troy Tassier, 2013. "Handbook of Research on Complexity, by J. Barkley Rosser, Jr. and Edward Elgar," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 39(1), pages 132-133.
    18. Alexander Subbotin & Thierry Chauveau & Kateryna Shapovalova, 2009. "Volatility Models: from GARCH to Multi-Horizon Cascades," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00390636, HAL.
    19. Jaramillo-López, Oscar Andrés & Forero-Laverde, Germán & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2020. "Evolución del supuesto de normalidad en finanzas: un análisis epistemológico del tipo Popper-Kuhn ¿Por qué la normalidad no cae en desuso? [Evolution of the assumption of normality in finance: a ep," MPRA Paper 101938, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Stoyan V. Stoyanov & Yong Shin Kim & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2017. "Option pricing for Informed Traders," Papers 1711.09445, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1809.04775. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.