IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1509.00217.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

A permutation Information Theory tour through different interest rate maturities: the Libor case

Author

Listed:
  • Aurelio F. Bariviera
  • M. Belen Guercio
  • Lisana B. Martinez
  • Osvaldo A. Rosso

Abstract

This paper analyzes Libor interest rates for seven different maturities and referred to operations in British Pounds, Euro, Swiss Francs and Japanese Yen, during the period years 2001 to 2015. The analysis is performed by means of two quantifiers derived from Information Theory: the permutation Shannon entropy and the permutation Fisher information measure. An anomalous behavior in the Libor is detected in all currencies except Euro during the years 2006--2012. The stochastic switch is more severe in 1, 2 and 3 months maturities. Given the special mechanism of Libor setting, we conjecture that the behavior could have been produced by the manipulation that was uncovered by financial authorities. We argue that our methodology is pertinent as a market overseeing instrument.

Suggested Citation

  • Aurelio F. Bariviera & M. Belen Guercio & Lisana B. Martinez & Osvaldo A. Rosso, 2015. "A permutation Information Theory tour through different interest rate maturities: the Libor case," Papers 1509.00217, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1509.00217
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1509.00217
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rosa Abrantes-Metz & Sofia Villas-Boas & George Judge, 2011. "Tracking the Libor rate," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(10), pages 893-899.
    2. Rosso, Osvaldo A. & Craig, Hugh & Moscato, Pablo, 2009. "Shakespeare and other English Renaissance authors as characterized by Information Theory complexity quantifiers," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(6), pages 916-926.
    3. Monticini, Andrea & Thornton, Daniel L., 2013. "The effect of underreporting on LIBOR rates," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 345-348.
    4. Olivares, Felipe & Plastino, Angelo & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2012. "Ambiguities in Bandt–Pompe’s methodology for local entropic quantifiers," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(8), pages 2518-2526.
    5. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
    6. John C. Williams & John B. Taylor, 2009. "A Black Swan in the Money Market," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 1(1), pages 58-83, January.
    7. Keller, K. & Sinn, M., 2005. "Ordinal analysis of time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 356(1), pages 114-120.
    8. Bariviera, A.F. & Guercio, M. Belén & Martinez, Lisana B., 2012. "A comparative analysis of the informational efficiency of the fixed income market in seven European countries," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 116(3), pages 426-428.
    9. Saco, Patricia M. & Carpi, Laura C. & Figliola, Alejandra & Serrano, Eduardo & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2010. "Entropy analysis of the dynamics of El Niño/Southern Oscillation during the Holocene," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(21), pages 5022-5027.
    10. De Micco, L. & González, C.M. & Larrondo, H.A. & Martin, M.T. & Plastino, A. & Rosso, O.A., 2008. "Randomizing nonlinear maps via symbolic dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(14), pages 3373-3383.
    11. David Hou Author-Name: David Skeie, 2013. "LIBOR: origins, economics, crisis, scandal and reform," The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics,, Palgrave Macmillan.
    12. Bariviera, Aurelio Fernández, 2011. "The influence of liquidity on informational efficiency: The case of the Thai Stock Market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(23), pages 4426-4432.
    13. Daniel Cajueiro & Benjamin Tabak, 2006. "The long-range dependence phenomena in asset returns: the Chinese case," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 131-133.
    14. O. A. Rosso & C. Masoller, 2009. "Detecting and quantifying temporal correlations in stochastic resonance via information theory measures," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 69(1), pages 37-43, May.
    15. Aurelio Fernandez Bariviera & M. Bel'en Guercio & Lisana B. Martinez, 2015. "Data manipulation detection via permutation information theory quantifiers," Papers 1501.04123, arXiv.org.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Fa-Bin Shi & Xiao-Qian Sun & Jin-Hua Gao & Li Xu & Hua-Wei Shen & Xue-Qi Cheng, 2019. "Anomaly detection in Bitcoin market via price return analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(6), pages 1-11, June.
    2. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & de Araújo, Fernando H.A. & Silva, Igor E.M. & Neto, Jusie S.P., 2021. "Macroeconophysics indicator of economic efficiency," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 573(C).
    3. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & de Araujo, Fernando H.A. & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2021. "Insights from the (in)efficiency of Chinese sectoral indices during COVID-19," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 578(C).
    4. Aurelio F. Bariviera & Luciano Zunino & Osvaldo A. Rosso, 2016. "Crude Oil Market And Geopolitical Events: An Analysis Based On Information-Theory-Based Quantifiers," Fuzzy Economic Review, International Association for Fuzzy-set Management and Economy (SIGEF), vol. 21(1), pages 41-51, May.
    5. Lisana B. Martinez & M. Belén Guercio & Aurelio Fernandez Bariviera & Antonio Terceño, 2018. "The impact of the financial crisis on the long-range memory of European corporate bond and stock markets," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(1), pages 1-15, February.
    6. Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Guercio, M. Belén & Martinez, Lisana B. & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2016. "Libor at crossroads: Stochastic switching detection using information theory quantifiers," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 172-182.
    7. Zunino, Luciano & Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Guercio, M. Belén & Martinez, Lisana B. & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2016. "Monitoring the informational efficiency of European corporate bond markets with dynamical permutation min-entropy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 456(C), pages 1-9.
    8. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & Araújo, Fernando H.A., 2020. "Taxonomy of commodities assets via complexity-entropy causality plane," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    9. Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Martín, María T. & Plastino, Angelo & Vampa, Victoria, 2016. "LIBOR troubles: Anomalous movements detection based on maximum entropy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 449(C), pages 401-407.
    10. Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Basgall, María José & Hasperué, Waldo & Naiouf, Marcelo, 2017. "Some stylized facts of the Bitcoin market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 484(C), pages 82-90.
    11. Silva, Antonio Samuel Alves & Menezes, Rômulo Simões Cezar & Rosso, Osvaldo A. & Stosic, Borko & Stosic, Tatijana, 2021. "Complexity entropy-analysis of monthly rainfall time series in northeastern Brazil," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    12. Aurelio F. Bariviera & Luciano Zunino & Osvaldo A. Rosso, 2018. "An analysis of high-frequency cryptocurrencies prices dynamics using permutation-information-theory quantifiers," Papers 1808.01926, arXiv.org.
    13. Aquino, Andre L.L. & Ramos, Heitor S. & Frery, Alejandro C. & Viana, Leonardo P. & Cavalcante, Tamer S.G. & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2017. "Characterization of electric load with Information Theory quantifiers," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 277-284.
    14. de Araujo, Fernando Henrique Antunes & Bejan, Lucian & Stosic, Borko & Stosic, Tatijana, 2020. "An analysis of Brazilian agricultural commodities using permutation – information theory quantifiers: The influence of food crisis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    15. Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Font-Ferrer, Alejandro & Sorrosal-Forradellas, M. Teresa & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2019. "An information theory perspective on the informational efficiency of gold price," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    16. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & Bouri, Elie & Silva, José W.L. & Bejan, Lucian & de Araujo, Fernando H.A., 2022. "The resilience of cryptocurrency market efficiency to COVID-19 shock," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 607(C).
    17. Akgüller, Ömer & Balcı, Mehmet Ali, 2018. "Geodetic convex boundary curvatures of the communities in stock market networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 569-581.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Guercio, M. Belén & Martinez, Lisana B. & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2016. "Libor at crossroads: Stochastic switching detection using information theory quantifiers," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 172-182.
    2. Aurelio Fernandez Bariviera & María Belén Guercio & Lisana B. Martinez & Osvaldo A. Rosso, 2015. "The (in)visible hand in the Libor market: an information theory approach," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 88(8), pages 1-9, August.
    3. Olivares, Felipe & Plastino, Angelo & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2012. "Ambiguities in Bandt–Pompe’s methodology for local entropic quantifiers," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(8), pages 2518-2526.
    4. De Micco, Luciana & Fernández, Juana Graciela & Larrondo, Hilda A. & Plastino, Angelo & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2012. "Sampling period, statistical complexity, and chaotic attractors," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(8), pages 2564-2575.
    5. Redelico, Francisco O. & Traversaro, Francisco & Oyarzabal, Nicolás & Vilaboa, Ivan & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2017. "Evaluation of the status of rotary machines by time causal Information Theory quantifiers," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 470(C), pages 321-329.
    6. Rosso, Osvaldo A. & Carpi, Laura C. & Saco, Patricia M. & Gómez Ravetti, Martín & Plastino, Angelo & Larrondo, Hilda A., 2012. "Causality and the entropy–complexity plane: Robustness and missing ordinal patterns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(1), pages 42-55.
    7. Aurelio F. Bariviera & Luciano Zunino & Osvaldo A. Rosso, 2016. "Crude Oil Market And Geopolitical Events: An Analysis Based On Information-Theory-Based Quantifiers," Fuzzy Economic Review, International Association for Fuzzy-set Management and Economy (SIGEF), vol. 21(1), pages 41-51, May.
    8. Montani, Fernando & Deleglise, Emilia B. & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2014. "Efficiency characterization of a large neuronal network: A causal information approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 401(C), pages 58-70.
    9. Bariviera, Aurelio F., 2017. "The inefficiency of Bitcoin revisited: A dynamic approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 1-4.
    10. Zunino, Luciano & Zanin, Massimiliano & Tabak, Benjamin M. & Pérez, Darío G. & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2010. "Complexity-entropy causality plane: A useful approach to quantify the stock market inefficiency," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(9), pages 1891-1901.
    11. Rosso, Osvaldo A. & De Micco, Luciana & Plastino, A. & Larrondo, Hilda A., 2010. "Info-quantifiers’ map-characterization revisited," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(21), pages 4604-4612.
    12. Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Martín, María T. & Plastino, Angelo & Vampa, Victoria, 2016. "LIBOR troubles: Anomalous movements detection based on maximum entropy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 449(C), pages 401-407.
    13. Aurelio F. Bariviera & Luciano Zunino & Osvaldo A. Rosso, 2018. "An analysis of high-frequency cryptocurrencies prices dynamics using permutation-information-theory quantifiers," Papers 1808.01926, arXiv.org.
    14. Eduarda T. C. Chagas & Marcelo Queiroz‐Oliveira & Osvaldo A. Rosso & Heitor S. Ramos & Cristopher G. S. Freitas & Alejandro C. Frery, 2022. "White Noise Test from Ordinal Patterns in the Entropy–Complexity Plane," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 90(2), pages 374-396, August.
    15. Aurelio F. Bariviera & Luciano Zunino & M. Belen Guercio & Lisana B. Martinez & Osvaldo A. Rosso, 2015. "Efficiency and credit ratings: a permutation-information-theory analysis," Papers 1509.01839, arXiv.org.
    16. Cheung, Yin-Wong (ed.), 2012. "The Evolving Role of China in the Global Economy," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262018234, April.
    17. Kowalski, A.M. & Martín, M.T. & Plastino, A. & Rosso, O.A., 2011. "Fisher information description of the classical–quantal transition," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(12), pages 2435-2441.
    18. Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Font-Ferrer, Alejandro & Sorrosal-Forradellas, M. Teresa & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2019. "An information theory perspective on the informational efficiency of gold price," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    19. Jinzhao Chen, 2012. "Crisis, Capital Controls and Covered Interest Parity: Evidence from China in Transformation," PSE Working Papers halshs-00660654, HAL.
    20. Sukpitak, Jessada & Hengpunya, Varagorn, 2016. "The influence of trading volume on market efficiency: The DCCA approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 458(C), pages 259-265.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1509.00217. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.