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A permutation Information Theory tour through different interest rate maturities: the Libor case

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  • Aurelio F. Bariviera
  • M. Belen Guercio
  • Lisana B. Martinez
  • Osvaldo A. Rosso

Abstract

This paper analyzes Libor interest rates for seven different maturities and referred to operations in British Pounds, Euro, Swiss Francs and Japanese Yen, during the period years 2001 to 2015. The analysis is performed by means of two quantifiers derived from Information Theory: the permutation Shannon entropy and the permutation Fisher information measure. An anomalous behavior in the Libor is detected in all currencies except Euro during the years 2006--2012. The stochastic switch is more severe in 1, 2 and 3 months maturities. Given the special mechanism of Libor setting, we conjecture that the behavior could have been produced by the manipulation that was uncovered by financial authorities. We argue that our methodology is pertinent as a market overseeing instrument.

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  • Aurelio F. Bariviera & M. Belen Guercio & Lisana B. Martinez & Osvaldo A. Rosso, 2015. "A permutation Information Theory tour through different interest rate maturities: the Libor case," Papers 1509.00217, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1509.00217
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    9. Saco, Patricia M. & Carpi, Laura C. & Figliola, Alejandra & Serrano, Eduardo & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2010. "Entropy analysis of the dynamics of El Niño/Southern Oscillation during the Holocene," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(21), pages 5022-5027.
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    12. Bariviera, Aurelio Fernández, 2011. "The influence of liquidity on informational efficiency: The case of the Thai Stock Market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(23), pages 4426-4432.
    13. Daniel Cajueiro & Benjamin Tabak, 2006. "The long-range dependence phenomena in asset returns: the Chinese case," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 131-133.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lisana B. Martinez & M. Belén Guercio & Aurelio Fernandez Bariviera & Antonio Terceño, 2018. "The impact of the financial crisis on the long-range memory of European corporate bond and stock markets," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(1), pages 1-15, February.
    2. Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Guercio, M. Belén & Martinez, Lisana B. & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2016. "Libor at crossroads: Stochastic switching detection using information theory quantifiers," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 172-182.
    3. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & Araújo, Fernando H.A., 2020. "Taxonomy of commodities assets via complexity-entropy causality plane," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    4. Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Martín, María T. & Plastino, Angelo & Vampa, Victoria, 2016. "LIBOR troubles: Anomalous movements detection based on maximum entropy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 449(C), pages 401-407.
    5. Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Basgall, María José & Hasperué, Waldo & Naiouf, Marcelo, 2017. "Some stylized facts of the Bitcoin market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 484(C), pages 82-90.
    6. Aquino, Andre L.L. & Ramos, Heitor S. & Frery, Alejandro C. & Viana, Leonardo P. & Cavalcante, Tamer S.G. & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2017. "Characterization of electric load with Information Theory quantifiers," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 277-284.
    7. Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Font-Ferrer, Alejandro & Sorrosal-Forradellas, M. Teresa & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2019. "An information theory perspective on the informational efficiency of gold price," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    8. Fa-Bin Shi & Xiao-Qian Sun & Jin-Hua Gao & Li Xu & Hua-Wei Shen & Xue-Qi Cheng, 2019. "Anomaly detection in Bitcoin market via price return analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(6), pages 1-11, June.
    9. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & de Araújo, Fernando H.A. & Silva, Igor E.M. & Neto, Jusie S.P., 2021. "Macroeconophysics indicator of economic efficiency," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 573(C).
    10. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & de Araujo, Fernando H.A. & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2021. "Insights from the (in)efficiency of Chinese sectoral indices during COVID-19," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 578(C).
    11. Aurelio F. Bariviera & Luciano Zunino & Osvaldo A. Rosso, 2016. "Crude Oil Market And Geopolitical Events: An Analysis Based On Information-Theory-Based Quantifiers," Fuzzy Economic Review, International Association for Fuzzy-set Management and Economy (SIGEF), vol. 21(1), pages 41-51, May.
    12. Zunino, Luciano & Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Guercio, M. Belén & Martinez, Lisana B. & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2016. "Monitoring the informational efficiency of European corporate bond markets with dynamical permutation min-entropy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 456(C), pages 1-9.
    13. Silva, Antonio Samuel Alves & Menezes, Rômulo Simões Cezar & Rosso, Osvaldo A. & Stosic, Borko & Stosic, Tatijana, 2021. "Complexity entropy-analysis of monthly rainfall time series in northeastern Brazil," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    14. Aurelio F. Bariviera & Luciano Zunino & Osvaldo A. Rosso, 2018. "An analysis of high-frequency cryptocurrencies prices dynamics using permutation-information-theory quantifiers," Papers 1808.01926, arXiv.org.
    15. de Araujo, Fernando Henrique Antunes & Bejan, Lucian & Stosic, Borko & Stosic, Tatijana, 2020. "An analysis of Brazilian agricultural commodities using permutation – information theory quantifiers: The influence of food crisis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    16. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & Bouri, Elie & Silva, José W.L. & Bejan, Lucian & de Araujo, Fernando H.A., 2022. "The resilience of cryptocurrency market efficiency to COVID-19 shock," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 607(C).
    17. Akgüller, Ömer & Balcı, Mehmet Ali, 2018. "Geodetic convex boundary curvatures of the communities in stock market networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 569-581.

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