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The non-linear trade-off between return and risk: a regime-switching multi-factor framework

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  • John Cotter
  • Enrique Salvador

Abstract

This study develops a multi-factor framework where not only market risk is considered but also potential changes in the investment opportunity set. Although previous studies find no clear evidence about a positive and significant relation between return and risk, favourable evidence can be obtained if a non-linear relation is pursued. The positive and significant risk-return trade-off is essentially observed during low volatility periods. However, this relationship is not obtained during periods of high volatility. Also, different patterns for the risk premium dynamics in low and high volatility periods are obtained both in prices of risk and market risk dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • John Cotter & Enrique Salvador, 2014. "The non-linear trade-off between return and risk: a regime-switching multi-factor framework," Papers 1410.6005, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1410.6005
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    Cited by:

    1. Naqi Shah, Sadia & Qayyum, Abdul, 2016. "Analyse Risk-Return Paradox: Evidence from Electricity Sector of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 85528, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Amanjot Singh & Parneet Kaur, 2017. "Does US Financial Stress Explain Risk–Return Dynamics in Indian Equity Market? A Logistic Regression Approach," Vision, , vol. 21(1), pages 13-22, March.
    3. Jieting Chen & Yuichiro Kawaguchi, 2018. "Multi-Factor Asset-Pricing Models under Markov Regime Switches: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Market," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-19, May.

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    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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