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Risk-Return Trade-Off for European Stock Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Nektarios Aslanidis

    (Department of Economics, FCEE, University Rovira Virgili)

  • Charlotte Christiansen

    (Cyprus University of Technology)

  • Christos S. Savva

    (Aarhus University and CREATES)

Abstract

This paper adopts dynamic factor models with macro-fi?nance predictors to revisit the intertemporal risk-return relation in ?five large European stock markets. We identify country specifi?c, Euro area, and global factors to determine the conditional moments of returns considering the role of higher-order moments as additional measures of risk. The preferred combination of factors varies across countries. In the linear model, there is a strong but negative relation between conditional returns and conditional volatility. A Markov switching model describes the risk-return trade-off well. A number of variables have explanatory power for the states of the European stock markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Nektarios Aslanidis & Charlotte Christiansen & Christos S. Savva, 2013. "Risk-Return Trade-Off for European Stock Markets," CREATES Research Papers 2013-31, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    • Handle: RePEc:aah:create:2013-31
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    8. Suzanne G. M. Fifield & David G. McMillan & Fiona J. McMillan, 2020. "Is there a risk and return relation?," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(11), pages 1075-1101, July.
    9. Ahmed, Walid M.A. & Al Mafrachi, Mustafa, 2021. "Do higher-order realized moments matter for cryptocurrency returns?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 483-499.
    10. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2020. "Is there a risk-return trade-off in cryptocurrency markets? The case of Bitcoin," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    11. Pedro Piccoli & Newton C. A. da Costa & Wesley Vieira da Silva & June A. W. Cruz, 2018. "Investor sentiment and the risk–return tradeoff in the Brazilian market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(S1), pages 599-618, November.
    12. Kim, Eung-Bin & Byun, Suk-Joon, 2021. "Risk, ambiguity, and equity premium: International evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 321-335.
    13. Lee, Eun Jung & Lee, Yu Kyung & Kim, Ryumi, 2022. "Investor attention and the risk-return trade-off," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    14. Galina Deeva, 2017. "Comparing Entropy and Beta as Measures of Risk in Asset Pricing," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 65(6), pages 1889-1894.
    15. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Christiansen, Charlotte & Savva, Christos S., 2020. "Flight-to-safety and the risk-return trade-off: European evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    16. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2020. "Stock market reactions to domestic sentiment: Panel CS-ARDL evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Risk-return trade-off; Dynamic factor model; Markov switching; Macro-?nance predictors; Higher order moments;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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